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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 160658

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0158 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

   Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN
   NEVADA...SOUTHWESTERN UTAH...AND FAR NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA...

   ...Synopsis...
   A midlevel trough will advance eastward from the West Coast across
   parts of the Great Basin/Intermountain West today. Within the base
   of the trough, moderate deep-layer westerly flow will overspread the
   Great Basin, while a weak surface low/trough evolves over the Lower
   CO River Valley.

   ...Southern NV into Southwest UT and far Northwest AZ...
   Along the southern periphery of mid/high-level clouds preceding the
   midlevel trough, strong diurnal heating of a warm/dry antecedent air
   mass will result in a deeply mixed boundary layer across the
   southern Great Basin. The deep mixing into the enhanced flow aloft,
   along with a tightening pressure gradient peripheral to the surface
   low/trough, will yield single-digit RH and 20-25 mph sustained
   southwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts) across southern NV,
   southwest UT, and far northwest AZ. Given increasingly dry fuels
   across the region, critical fire-weather conditions are expected.

   Farther north, modest westerly flow aloft across the Cascades will
   contribute to locally dry/breezy downslope flow into the Columbia
   Basin, where elevated fire-weather conditions are forecast.

   ..Weinman.. 06/16/2025
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 160659

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0159 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

   Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO AND
   EASTERN ARIZONA...

   ...Synopsis...
   Within the base of a midlevel trough advancing eastward from the
   Great Basin into the central Rockies, moderate deep-layer westerly
   flow will overspread the Southwest during the afternoon. In response
   to this feature, a lee cyclone will deepen over the central High
   Plains. 

   ...Western NM and Eastern AZ...
   Deep boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft, coupled
   with a tightening pressure gradient peripheral to the deepening lee
   cyclone, will contribute to an expansive area of single-digit RH and
   20 mph sustained westerly surface winds across western NM and
   eastern AZ. These dry/windy conditions atop increasingly dry fuels
   will lead to critical fire-weather conditions during the afternoon.

   ..Weinman.. 06/16/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 152201

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0501 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

   Valid 171200Z - 231200Z

   ...Day 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday...
   An eastward propagating upper-level short wave trough and associated
   increased mid-level flow will overspread the Southwest on Day
   3/Tuesday. Critical probabilities were maintained as prolonged burn
   periods with poor to moderate RH recoveries and single digit daytime
   RH values combine with southwest winds of 15-25 mph across eastern
   Arizona and western New Mexico. A 40 percent probability area was
   added for the Columbia Basin for Day 4/Tuesday as another Pacific
   Northwest short wave trough moves into the region supporting
   downslope/leeward drying and breezy west winds across the area amid
   dry fuels.

   ...Day 5-8/Thursday-Sunday...
   A deepening upper-level trough begins to impact the western U.S. on
   Day 5/Thursday, promoting a multi-day fire weather threat across the
   Great Basin with fire weather concerns shifting east into the
   Southwest and Intermountain West into the weekend. Fuels will
   continue to dry across the region under an above normal temperature
   regime with dry, breezy southwest winds setting the stage for
   increased fire spread potential. Dry and breezy conditions could
   also impact ongoing active fires across the region.

   ..Williams.. 06/15/2025
      




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