ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 231924

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0124 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

   Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

   Modest west-southwest flow aloft along with a deepening lee trough
   in the High Plains will promote breezy west-southwest winds across
   the Southern Plains Wednesday. A drier air mass aided by the
   downslope regime will be in place across the central and southern
   High Plains Wednesday, demarcated by a considerably more moist
   boundary layer farther east from central TX into central OK. The
   most favorable alignment of southwest sustained winds of 15 mph,
   minimum relative humidity as low as 10% and receptive fuels is
   expected across the TX/OK Panhandles and adjacent high plains areas
   of NM and CO. Only slight modifications were necessary to the
   existing Elevated highlights based on latest model guidance.

   ..Williams.. 12/23/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0118 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level ridge will persist across the central U.S., with a
   highly amplified mid-level trough poised to gradually drift eastward
   across the Interior West tomorrow (Wednesday). Lee troughing across
   the High Plains will intensify through the day, promoting a modestly
   stronger surface wind field across the southern High Plains compared
   to Day 1. 15 mph sustained westerly surface winds will coincide with
   15-20 percent RH during the afternoon across northeast New Mexico
   into the Texas Panhandle and far southwestern Kansas. Given dry
   fuels over this region, Elevated highlights have been introduced.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 232140

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0340 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

   Valid 251200Z - 311200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   The expansive mid-level ridge across the central U.S. begins to move
   eastward as a robust mid/upper level trough over the Northeast
   Pacific continues to bring widespread rain and mountain snow to much
   of the West. Persistent lee troughing under steady westerly flow
   aloft should bring dry and breezy conditions on Day
   3-5/Thursday-Saturday across portions of the southern High Plains
   where record high temperatures are possible. The trough across the
   West finally pushes deeper into Intermountain West by Day
   5/Saturday, allowing fire weather concerns to linger across the
   southern High Plains under an intensifying mid-level jet. A
   mid-level trough deepens across the eastern U.S. early next week
   ushering in a sweeping cold front that should reach the Gulf Coast
   by Day 7/Monday. Dry post-frontal winds could increase fire concerns
   across portions of the Southern Plains and Southeast in the Day
   6-8/Sunday-Tuesday period where pockets of drier fuels exist and
   minimal rainfall is expected.

   ...Day 3-5/Thursday-Saturday...
   Anomalously warm temperatures in the 70s and 80s under a persistent
   mid-level ridge will continue to dry fuels across the central and
   southern High Plains through this week. Surface lee troughing across
   the Plains along with downslope drying and enhanced west-southwest
   winds should present an ongoing fire weather threat across portions
   of far eastern NM, TX Panhandle and  far western OK. Increasing
   cloud cover and surface dewpoints across the southern High Plains
   could inhibit boundary layer mixing on Day 3/Thursday, limiting RH
   reductions and mitigating a more widespread critical fire weather
   event for the TX Panhandle. Drier conditions and lower daytime
   relative humidity should return to the region Day
   4-5/Friday-Saturday coinciding with enhanced southwest surface winds
   under deep layer west-southwest flow. 40 percent critical
   probabilities remain for portions of the TX Panhandle vicinity on
   Day 4/Friday and were similarly added on Day 5/Saturday.

   ...Day 6-8/Sunday-Tuesday...
   A cold front sweeping through the eastern U.S. should be the primary
   focus for fire weather threats early next week. However, latest
   model guidance suggests expansive cloud cover and potential rainfall
   along and behind the front which could mitigate fire weather
   concerns within the dry post frontal regime.

   ..Williams.. 12/23/2025