ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 150656

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0156 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

   Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
   NEVADA...SOUTHWESTERN UTAH...AND FAR NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA...

   ...Synopsis...
   During the day on Monday, a mid-level shortwave trough is expected
   to traverse California and into the Great Basin, and the surface
   mass response to this feature will tighten the sea-level pressure
   gradient across the area, resulting in strong surface winds. With
   seasonably strong vertical mixing, RH in the Great Basin and Four
   Corners region is expected to be around 5-15%. The best overlap of
   windy conditions and dry fuels is expected to be across parts of
   southeast Nevada, southwest Utah, and far northwest Arizona, where
   Critical highlights have been added. In this area, winds are
   expected to be near 20-30 mph with gusts as high as 35-40 mph
   underneath the core of the mid-level jet associated with the
   shortwave trough. Surrounding that Critical area, winds may be
   weaker and fuels less receptive to fire spread. However, this still
   warrants an Elevated area across parts of the Great Basin and Four
   Corners region.

   ..Supinie.. 06/15/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 142057

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0357 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025

   Valid 161200Z - 221200Z

   ...Days 3-4/Monday-Tuesday...
   On Day 3/Monday, a midlevel shortwave trough and related strong
   midlevel westerly flow will track eastward across the Great Basin
   during peak heating. Deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow
   aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will lead to
   critical fire-weather conditions from southern NV into southern UT.
   Thereafter, the midlevel shortwave trough and strong flow aloft will
   continue eastward across the Southwest on Day 4/Tuesday. Given a
   warm/dry air mass and increasingly dry fuels, critical fire-weather
   conditions are expected across parts of eastern AZ and
   western/central NM.

   ...Days 6-8/Thursday-Saturday...
   Deep-layer southwesterly flow will gradually strengthen across the
   Great Basin ahead of an evolving large-scale trough. As these strong
   winds overspread a deeply mixed air mass each afternoon, an
   expansive area of elevated to critical fire-weather can be expected.
   As the midlevel trough advances eastward across the Intermountain
   West into the weekend, strong northerly winds will overspread CA,
   supporting increasing fire-weather concerns over areas of receptive
   fuels. Higher probabilities may eventually be needed during this
   time frame as the overall timing/evolution of the large-scale trough
   becomes more clear.

   ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025