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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 151652

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1152 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

   Valid 151700Z - 161200Z

   Dry downslope flow east of the Sierra Crest along with dry fuels
   will contribute to elevated fire weather conditions across far
   western Nevada this afternoon. Single digit relative humidity along
   with breezy southwest winds are expected across central/southern
   Nevada and southwestern Utah. However, mid and upper slope
   fuelscapes remain largely in green up phase, limiting fire spread
   potential to lower elevation cured grasses with average fuel
   loading.

   ..Williams.. 06/15/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A belt of modest mid-level flow will be positioned over the Great
   Basin during the day, and strong mixing during the afternoon is
   expected to bring some of that flow to the surface, resulting in a
   couple areas of fire weather concerns. An Elevated area was
   maintained across parts of northwestern Nevada, where RH is expected
   to be near 5-15% with 15-20 mph surface winds atop dry fuels.
   Similar atmospheric conditions are expected across eastern Nevada
   into west-central Utah, however fuels in this region are not as dry.
   Therefore, have held off on introducing Elevated highlights in this
   area for now.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 150656

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0156 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

   Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
   NEVADA...SOUTHWESTERN UTAH...AND FAR NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA...

   ...Synopsis...
   During the day on Monday, a mid-level shortwave trough is expected
   to traverse California and into the Great Basin, and the surface
   mass response to this feature will tighten the sea-level pressure
   gradient across the area, resulting in strong surface winds. With
   seasonably strong vertical mixing, RH in the Great Basin and Four
   Corners region is expected to be around 5-15%. The best overlap of
   windy conditions and dry fuels is expected to be across parts of
   southeast Nevada, southwest Utah, and far northwest Arizona, where
   Critical highlights have been added. In this area, winds are
   expected to be near 20-30 mph with gusts as high as 35-40 mph
   underneath the core of the mid-level jet associated with the
   shortwave trough. Surrounding that Critical area, winds may be
   weaker and fuels less receptive to fire spread. However, this still
   warrants an Elevated area across parts of the Great Basin and Four
   Corners region.

   ..Supinie.. 06/15/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 142057

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0357 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025

   Valid 161200Z - 221200Z

   ...Days 3-4/Monday-Tuesday...
   On Day 3/Monday, a midlevel shortwave trough and related strong
   midlevel westerly flow will track eastward across the Great Basin
   during peak heating. Deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow
   aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will lead to
   critical fire-weather conditions from southern NV into southern UT.
   Thereafter, the midlevel shortwave trough and strong flow aloft will
   continue eastward across the Southwest on Day 4/Tuesday. Given a
   warm/dry air mass and increasingly dry fuels, critical fire-weather
   conditions are expected across parts of eastern AZ and
   western/central NM.

   ...Days 6-8/Thursday-Saturday...
   Deep-layer southwesterly flow will gradually strengthen across the
   Great Basin ahead of an evolving large-scale trough. As these strong
   winds overspread a deeply mixed air mass each afternoon, an
   expansive area of elevated to critical fire-weather can be expected.
   As the midlevel trough advances eastward across the Intermountain
   West into the weekend, strong northerly winds will overspread CA,
   supporting increasing fire-weather concerns over areas of receptive
   fuels. Higher probabilities may eventually be needed during this
   time frame as the overall timing/evolution of the large-scale trough
   becomes more clear.

   ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025
      




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