ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 240641

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1241 AM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

   Valid 251200Z - 261200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper ridging will persist across the central U.S. to some degree
   tomorrow (Thursday), though some flattening of this ridge is
   expected as the West Coast upper trough de-amplifies, with a
   mid-level impulse poised to overspread the Rockies. As this occurs,
   a surface low will develop over the central Plains, encouraging
   locally stronger downslope flow along the central and southern High
   Plains compared to previous days. 15-20 mph sustained westerly
   surface winds are likely across much of the High Plains Thursday
   afternoon. However, the latest guidance depicts relatively higher RH
   compared to previous days (i.e. 20-30 percent RH across the southern
   High Plains). Despite the locally higher RH, the persistent curing
   of fuels and stronger surface wind field suggests that Elevated
   highlights are warranted. These highlights have been introduced for
   portions of far eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle, where
   RH is more likely to drop below 20 percent for at least a few hours
   tomorrow.

   ..Squitieri.. 12/24/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 232140

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0340 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

   Valid 251200Z - 311200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   The expansive mid-level ridge across the central U.S. begins to move
   eastward as a robust mid/upper level trough over the Northeast
   Pacific continues to bring widespread rain and mountain snow to much
   of the West. Persistent lee troughing under steady westerly flow
   aloft should bring dry and breezy conditions on Day
   3-5/Thursday-Saturday across portions of the southern High Plains
   where record high temperatures are possible. The trough across the
   West finally pushes deeper into Intermountain West by Day
   5/Saturday, allowing fire weather concerns to linger across the
   southern High Plains under an intensifying mid-level jet. A
   mid-level trough deepens across the eastern U.S. early next week
   ushering in a sweeping cold front that should reach the Gulf Coast
   by Day 7/Monday. Dry post-frontal winds could increase fire concerns
   across portions of the Southern Plains and Southeast in the Day
   6-8/Sunday-Tuesday period where pockets of drier fuels exist and
   minimal rainfall is expected.

   ...Day 3-5/Thursday-Saturday...
   Anomalously warm temperatures in the 70s and 80s under a persistent
   mid-level ridge will continue to dry fuels across the central and
   southern High Plains through this week. Surface lee troughing across
   the Plains along with downslope drying and enhanced west-southwest
   winds should present an ongoing fire weather threat across portions
   of far eastern NM, TX Panhandle and  far western OK. Increasing
   cloud cover and surface dewpoints across the southern High Plains
   could inhibit boundary layer mixing on Day 3/Thursday, limiting RH
   reductions and mitigating a more widespread critical fire weather
   event for the TX Panhandle. Drier conditions and lower daytime
   relative humidity should return to the region Day
   4-5/Friday-Saturday coinciding with enhanced southwest surface winds
   under deep layer west-southwest flow. 40 percent critical
   probabilities remain for portions of the TX Panhandle vicinity on
   Day 4/Friday and were similarly added on Day 5/Saturday.

   ...Day 6-8/Sunday-Tuesday...
   A cold front sweeping through the eastern U.S. should be the primary
   focus for fire weather threats early next week. However, latest
   model guidance suggests expansive cloud cover and potential rainfall
   along and behind the front which could mitigate fire weather
   concerns within the dry post frontal regime.

   ..Williams.. 12/23/2025