U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 180648
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0148 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Valid 181200Z - 191200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
Zonal mid-level flow is expected over much of the US as a broad
low-amplitude trough moves over the central CONUS. Weak ridging is
expected farther south which will force stronger flow aloft to
remain displaced over the northern third of the country. At the
surface, a low will move eastward with the broad trough while a cold
front moves south over much of the Plains. Much cooler temperatures,
higher humidity, and weaker winds are expected within the
post-frontal air mass. The only exception to this may be across far
northeast NM and southern CO where the air mass is expected to
remain drier and could support a few hours of locally elevated
fire-weather concerns. Otherwise, fire-weather concerns appear
unlikely over much of the CONUS today.
..Lyons.. 04/18/2024
|
U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 180651
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
Generally zonal flow will continue over the US ahead of a subtle
southern stream trough over northern Mexico. At the surface, a
back-door cold front will move into the southern high Plains and
Rockies as high pressure intensifies over the central CONUS. With
upslope trajectories, cooler temperatures, and weak winds, little
overlap of dry and breezy conditions is expected over the southern
High Plains. Fire-weather concerns should remain low for most areas.
Portions of the Southwest and southern Great Basin are expected to
generally remain dry. But, at present, fuels are not receptive and
winds are forecast to remain modest limiting the potential for
fire-weather concerns.
..Lyons.. 04/18/2024
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 172040
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0340 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Valid 191200Z - 251200Z
Given recent and expected precipitation across much of the CONUS
through the extended forecast period, fire weather concerns should
remain low for most areas. Portions of the Southwest and southern
Great Basin are expected to generally remain dry. At present, fuels
are not receptive and winds are forecast to remain rather light.
Toward mid to late next week, models are in reasonable agreement
that a broad trough will be in the West. Some potential for an
increase in fire weather concerns will exist in parts of
central/western New Mexico where fuels may become dry enough to
support fire spread. This increase will coincide with increasing
winds as the trough moves eastward. Confidence in critical fire
weather occurring is too low for highlights.
..Wendt.. 04/17/2024
|
|