ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 110635

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0135 AM CDT Mon Aug 11 2025

   Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Isolated dry thunderstorms will remain the primary fire weather
   concern for Tuesday across the country. Latest forecast guidance
   hints that a deeply-mixed, but adequately buoyant, environment will
   remain in place across central AZ on the northern fringe of deeper
   monsoonal moisture. Forcing for ascent will be fairly weak and
   largely driven by orographic ascent along the Mogollon Rim. However,
   several deterministic CAM and recent HREF guidance hints at the
   potential for at least a few thunderstorms. This thermodynamic
   environment has yielded a mixture of wet and dry thunderstorms over
   the past 24 hours, so a similar combination appears probable for
   Tuesday. Fine fuels largely remain dry across the region, and recent
   lightning-caused fires hint that the fuel environment should support
   at least some fire starts. 

   ...Pacific Northwest...
   A weak mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Pacific
   Northwest on Tuesday. While flow aloft will be fairly modest, the
   zonal flow over the Cascades and northern Sierra Nevada will likely
   induce a downslope flow regime within an antecedent dry environment
   with receptive fuels. Ensemble support was too limited to warrant
   additional highlights, but localized elevated fire weather
   conditions appear possible across far northwest NV, eastern OR, and
   southern WA Tuesday afternoon.

   ..Moore.. 08/11/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 102150

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0450 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

   Valid 121200Z - 181200Z

   Upper-level troughing will develop across the Pacific Northwest
   D3/Tuesday into D4/Wednesday, bringing an increase to winds amid dry
   conditions. Rain and thunderstorm chances may increase across this
   region by late in the period. As the western highs shifts into the
   Four Corners Region, monsoonal moisture may return northward across
   portions of Arizona through mid to lake week, with lingering
   isolated dry thunderstorm chances before a shift to more wetting
   rainfall potential.

   ...Dry Thunderstorms...
   Isolated thunderstorms D3/Tuesday - D5/Thursday will become more
   widely scattered with a gradual increase in moisture northward as
   the western high shifts into the Four Corners region through the
   weekend. This may lead to an increase in wetting rainfall, with less
   potential for dry thunderstorms. Some lingering isolated dry
   thunderstorm chances may be possible, but for now this threat
   appears too low for inclusion of any areas.

   ...Wind/RH...
   Breezy conditions are expected across the Pacific Northwest as the
   pattern becomes more progressive, with broad troughing and several
   shortwave disturbances moving through early to mid-week. The most
   widespread winds are expected D4/Wednesday, when Elevated to locally
   Critical conditions are expected across portions of the Columbia
   River Basin in eastern Washington and Oregon as a trough moves
   inland and enhanced westerly flow overspreads the Cascade Range. A
   40% delineation was added with this outlook to cover this potential.

   ..Thornton.. 08/10/2025