ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 171745

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1145 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2025

   Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   The forecast remains on track. For details, see the previous
   discussion below.

   ..Weinman.. 01/17/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1244 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Tomorrow (Saturday), a high-amplitude mid-level trough associated
   with a cold airmass is forecast to overspread much of the central
   and eastern US. This trough will be accompanied by a strong jet
   maximum moving southward across the Intermountain West, which will
   bring dry and windy conditions to portions of Arizona and New
   Mexico. However, with generally cooler temperatures and a lack of
   receptive fuels, any fire-weather threat should remain localized.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 162139

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0339 PM CST Thu Jan 16 2025

   Valid 181200Z - 241200Z

   In the mid-levels, a large upper cyclone will settle over the
   eastern 2/3rds of the US as a strong Arctic air mass moves into the
   lower 48. Well below-average temperatures and widespread winter
   precipitation are expected to negate fire-weather potential through
   much of next week. However, the arrival of the Arctic air mass will
   allow strong high pressure to intensify over the Great Basin. This
   could support offshore flow and the potential for critical
   fire-weather conditions over parts of southern CA early next week.

   ...Southern CA...
   As the Arctic air mass intrudes the CONUS, ridging is forecast to
   intensify over the eastern Pacific late this weekend through midweek
   next week. As a result, high pressure should quickly intensify over
   the Great Basin, tightening offshore pressure gradients over
   southern CA. A shortwave trough is also forecast to move east of the
   upper ridge and deepen as it moves over parts of the Southwest
   D5/Mon. Model solutions have come into better agreement showing this
   trough potentially forcing strong mid-level flow over parts of
   southern CA. Should this occur, strong offshore pressure gradients,
   supported by moderate flow aloft could allow for a period of
   critical fire-weather conditions, mainly D5/Mon through D7/Wed.
   Ongoing very dry conditions, in combination with increasing
   potential for moderate offshore winds lend enough confidence to
   introduce 40% areas for D5/Mon and D6/Tues. Offshore winds could
   extended into D8/Thurs and beyond, but models still show
   considerable variability in the evolution of the relevant upper-air
   features.

   ..Lyons.. 01/16/2025