ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 170556

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1256 AM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025

   Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN NEW
   MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   The upper trough will shift to the east with the stronger mid-level
   winds within the southern/central Plains on Friday. Another surface
   low, though weaker than Thursday, will develop along the New
   Mexico/Texas border. A cold front will push farther south into parts
   of the southern Plains. Fire weather concerns will remain across
   parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains.

   ...New Mexico into West Texas...
   Though mid-level flow will be weaker than the previous day, moderate
   flow should remain across the region during the afternoon. Coupled
   with the modest surface low, surface winds of 15-25 mph will be
   possible. RH could fall around 10% for some locations, but will more
   broadly be around 15-20%. Critical fire weather is most likely in
   parts of southern and eastern New Mexico and the Trans-Pecos. There
   is greater confidence in critically low RH as well as fuels being
   more receptive here.

   ..Wendt.. 04/17/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 162137

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0437 PM CDT Wed Apr 16 2025

   Valid 181200Z - 241200Z

   A long-wave upper-level trough will translate northeastward from the
   Intermountain West into the Great Lakes region through the weekend.
   An attendant cold front will also progress south and eastward
   through early next week providing widespread wetting rains from
   eastern Texas into the Midwest mitigating fire weather concerns for
   a large portion of the central U.S. However, fire weather concerns
   will persist on the southern periphery of the upper-trough where
   stronger mid-level winds and persistent dry fuels remain over
   portions of New Mexico and far western Texas on day 3/Friday.
   Confidence remains high for a 70 percent chance of Critical fire
   weather conditions across this area. A cooler and more moist,
   post-frontal air mass infiltrates into much of New Mexico on Day
   4/Saturday, limiting fire weather threat to the Big Bend area of
   Texas where a 40 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions
   was introduced. Forecast confidence in noteworthy fire weather
   threat areas decreases early next week as a more zonal flow pattern
   sets up across the U.S. Dry and breezy conditions could return to
   portions of the Southwest by the end of the week (Day 8) with
   another possible upper-trough moving into the Western U.S. providing
   a dry, southwesterly flow regime.

   ..Williams/Moore.. 04/16/2025