ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 261814

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0114 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

   Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS...

   No changes. See previous discussion below.

   ..Bentley.. 04/26/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   A strong mid-level jet streak will round the western trough on
   Saturday, with strong lee cyclogenesis resulting across the High
   Plains. Strengthening flow amid very dry conditions will lead to
   Critical fire weather concerns across portions of the southern High
   Plains into the central High Plains.

   ...Southern and Central High Plains...
   A deeply mixed airmass is expected to be in place by Saturday
   afternoon across portions of eastern New Mexico into far
   southeastern Colorado and eastward into the Oklahoma/Texas
   Panhandles. In these regions, sustained surface winds 20-30 mph will
   overlap afternoon relative humidity reductions to around 5-10
   percent. While some spotty Extremely Critical conditions are
   possible, fuels do not yet support inclusion of an Extremely
   Critical area at this time. Conditions will be monitored for higher
   end potential.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 261840

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0140 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

   Valid 281200Z - 041200Z

   A strong mid-level trough will shift into the Upper Midwest on
   Sunday/Monday. Beyond Monday a more zonal pattern should lead to
   relatively benign fire weather conditions for much of the day 4-8
   period. The only exception will be mid-week when some potential for
   lee cyclogenesis in Colorado may increase fire-weather potential.

   ...Day 3/Sunday - Southern High Plains...
   Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the southern High
   Plains again on Sunday. These conditions should be mostly confined
   to southeast New Mexico and vicinity where stronger mid-level flow
   should be present and at least some weak lee cyclogenesis is
   possible with a passing weak mid-level shortwave trough.

   ...Day 6/Wednesday - eastern New Mexico...
   Some forecast guidance shows a mid-level shortwave trough moving
   across the Rockies by mid-week with a lee cyclone developing. If
   this occurs, some dry and breezy conditions will be likely across
   portions of eastern New Mexico. However, there is still considerable
   model uncertainty with respect to the evolution of the pattern, and
   winds are relatively weak with forecast solutions which do have a
   stronger lee cyclone. For those reasons, no probabilities have been
   added at this time. The pattern will continue to be monitored.

   ..Bentley.. 04/26/2024