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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 060555
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1155 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today across the
CONUS. Westerly flow aloft will overspread the northern/central
Rockies, with a lee cyclone developing across the central Plains.
The resulting increase in surface pressure gradient will support
enhancement of westerly downslope flow across portions of east
central New Mexico into the Texas Permian Basin. While some overlap
of dry and breezy conditions is likely, fuels in this region are not
receptive to spread after recent cool and wet conditions.
..Thornton.. 12/06/2025
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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 060556
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1156 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low across the CONUS on
D2/Sunday. A cold front will usher in cooler and drier conditions
across the Plains with lighter winds amid building surface high
pressure. Upper level ridging will continue across the western US,
with warming and dry conditions but light winds. Overall, overlap of
receptive fuels and breezy/dry conditions is not expected.
..Thornton.. 12/06/2025
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 052152
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025
Valid 071200Z - 131200Z
Model guidance consensus indicates little deviation in the overall
upper-level pattern across CONUS through next week. Ridging nudges
further into CA and the Southwest while troughing persists across
the eastern U.S. A warming and drying trend under the ridge should
continue across the much of the Southwest, CA and Southern Plains
through much of next week while colder/wetter conditions exist
across the eastern U.S., largely mitigating fire weather threats. A
dry cold front will initially shutter fire weather concerns across
the Southern Plains Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday, with relatively warm
temperatures returning midweek contributing to drying of fuels
across the region. A strengthening polar jet across the Northern
Rockies and central/northern Plains and subsequent stronger surface
cyclogenesis in the Central Plains could promote dry and breezy
conditions across eastern NM/West TX vicinity on Day 7/Thursday.
However, uncertainty in fuels and relative humidity reductions
limits confidence in introducing critical fire weather probabilities
at this time.
..Williams.. 12/05/2025
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