U.S. Alerts
El Dorado Weather Logo
U.S. Radar Loop Conditions Map

U.S. Color Satellite North America Color Infrared Animated Satellite Loop

Interactive Wx Map Live U.S. Google Map Radar Thumbnail Image

US Precipitation 1 day, 24 hour precipitation map

US Temperatures US Conditions Map

US Climate Data US Conditions Map

Louisiana Smokey Air Forecast
AQI & Smoke Map | Burn Area Map | Fire Advisories | Fire Danager Map

U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 081648

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1148 AM CDT Thu May 08 2025

   Valid 081700Z - 091200Z

   The Elevated area was expanded based on the latest observations and
   high-resolution ensemble forecast guidance. RH has already dropped
   to 15-30% in northwest Minnesota with wind gusts of 15-30 mph. In
   western North Dakota, RH is generally 25-35% with sustained
   south-southwest winds of 15-25 mph gusting 25-35 mph. With daytime
   heating and the approaching cold front, elevated to locally critical
   conditions are expected to develop across western North Dakota into
   northwest Minnesota this afternoon into the early evening. 

   An IsoDryT area was added as well in western North Dakota. There is
   a 10-30% chance of isolated to scattered high-based showers and
   thunderstorms across western North Dakota late this afternoon into
   the evening along/ahead of an approaching cold front, with the area
   along the pre-frontal trough likely a genesis zone. Precipitable
   water values of 0.5-0.8", storm motions of 10-25 mph, and cloud
   bases of ~3km AGL will help limit wetting rainfall, although some
   training could be possible before winds aloft turn more westerly.
   Gusty and erratic winds are also possible with these storms.

   ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1250 AM CDT Thu May 08 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Elevated fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon across
   portions of western North Dakota. 05 UTC surface analysis shows a
   surface low developing in the lee of the Canadian Rockies, which
   will track to the east through the day. Southerly winds are forecast
   to increase to 15-20 mph across ND ahead of a southeastward moving
   cold front out of MT and Saskatchewan. Although isolated to
   scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected along this boundary
   by early evening, there should be a 3-4 hour wind during the
   afternoon with warm temperatures in the low/mid 80s, RH values in
   the low 20s, and breezy conditions. Although spring green up is
   underway, dead grasses remain across the fuel landscape and are
   sufficiently dry to carry large fires (as evidenced by a couple of
   large fires in recent days across western ND). Similar wind/RH
   conditions could develop along the MT/Canadian border within the
   post-frontal regime, but wetting rainfall over the past three days
   has likely mitigated fuel status for the time being. Elsewhere
   across the country, widespread rain chances and weak gradient winds
   will limit additional fire weather concerns.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 081825

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0125 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   There is a chance of isolated mixed wet/dry thunderstorms in
   portions of southern Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin along/ahead
   of an approaching cold front. Fuels are in or entering the spring
   dip in this area and could be receptive to lightning ignition.
   However, precipitable water values are likely to be 0.8-1" with
   dewpoints in the 50s, and lightning amounts could be minimal over
   receptive fuels. Given the potential of hot, dry, and windy
   conditions emerging Sunday into early next week, this area will
   continue to be monitored. Otherwise, the forecast remains on track,
   and please see the previous discussion.

   ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1250 AM CDT Thu May 08 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Fire weather potential appears limited for Friday across the
   country. The upper trough currently across the central U.S. will
   continue to meander east through the next 48 hours. This will bring
   widespread rain chances to much of the MS/OH River Valleys and the
   Southeast over the next two days. To the west, upper ridging will
   favor drier conditions, but weak low-level winds should modulate the
   potential for fire spread. Breezy and dry conditions may develop
   through the Red River Valley of the North Friday afternoon after a
   dry cold frontal passage, but confidence in sustained winds above
   elevated thresholds (15 mph) during peak heating is too low to
   warrant risk highlights.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 082151

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025

   Valid 101200Z - 161200Z

   An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over
   the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week
   as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal
   temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day
   3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday
   into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the
   northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow,
   especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate
   east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast
   through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida
   and the Deep South through the Carolinas. 

   ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper
   Midwest...
   Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the
   northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early
   next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow,
   elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday
   - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some
   uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will
   increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest.
   Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels
   entering or already in there spring dip. 

   There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the
   Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day
   5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include
   probabilities at this time. 

   ...Great Basin into the Southwest...
   As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy
   conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from
   the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will
   start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and
   western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the
   Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has
   reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the
   Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if
   probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions
   increase.

   ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025
      




Contact Us Contact Us Thumbnail | Mobile Mobile Phone Thumbnail | Bookmark PageBookmark Thumbnail (CTRL-D)
Private Policy | Terms & Conds | Consent Preferences | Cookie Policy
Never base any life decisions on weather information from this site or anywhere over the Internet.
Site is dedicated to our Lord & Savior Jesus Christ | Random Quotes of Jesus

Copyright © 2025 El Dorado Weather, Inc. | Site Designed By:  Webmaster Danny