U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 211830 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... An Elevated risk area has been introduced for portions of central FL. Latest guidance has trended towards slightly stronger winds along the FL peninsula tomorrow as a secondary cold surge pushes across the region. Gusts up to 15-20 mph will be possible - especially during the late morning hours - with RH reductions into the 25-35% range. Dry/windy conditions today across the area and limited rainfall over the past three days should allow for adequate drying of fine fuels to support a fire concern. ..Moore.. 11/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1151 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024/ ...Synopsis... A similar upper-level pattern to Thursday will again be present on Friday. The strong upper low will continue east and a complex surface low evolution will occur off the Mid-Atlantic/New England coast. Fire weather conditions are expected to be minimal for most areas. Northern into central Florida will again be dry. Temperature will be a bit cooler and RH will be a bit higher. Boundary layer mixing will also be less than Thursday, tempering gust potential. With the strongest winds/lowest RH expected over less receptive fuels, highlights will be withheld. Locally elevated conditions can be expected.
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 212116 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024 Valid 231200Z - 291200Z Fire weather concerns remain limited through the extended period. The upper trough over the Great Lakes/Ohio River Valley will continue to promote widespread rain/snow chances across these regions and into the Northeast over the next 48 hours. The precipitation associated with this system, combined with seasonal temperatures over the next several days, will limit fuel concerns across the northern/northeastern CONUS. A breakdown of the upper ridge over the central U.S. will transition into a more zonal flow regime over this weekend. As this occurs, increasing west/southwesterly mid-level flow - augmented by transient shortwave troughs - may promote areas of dry/windy conditions in the lee of the southern Rockies. Additionally, a dry return flow regime may become established across the southern Plains this weekend as a lee trough deepens along the High Plains; however, recent widespread rainfall should limit fuel status. This regime will be short-lived as cold air intrusions overspread the Plains behind a deepening surface low during the early to mid-week period. Recent precipitation, cool temperatures, and weak gradient winds should limit fire concerns across the western CONUS. ..Moore.. 11/21/2024
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