ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 200654

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0154 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

   Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A strong midlevel westerly jet streak will cross the northern
   Rockies during peak heating, while a related cold front overspreads
   the region. This will promote strong, post-frontal westerly surface
   winds across portions of northern MT, which could briefly overlap
   20-30 percent RH. As a result, locally elevated fire-weather
   conditions are possible.

   Farther east, the southern periphery of a belt of strong deep-layer
   northwesterly flow will overspread MN, WI, and Lower MI.
   Boundary-layer heating and related mixing into the enhanced flow
   aloft will yield breezy/gusty surface winds amid 25-35 percent RH.
   While locally elevated conditions are possible, uncertainty
   regarding fuels and marginal winds/RH limit confidence in the
   large-fire threat. 

   Lastly, locally elevated conditions are possible over portions of
   east-central FL during the afternoon, where diurnal heating amid
   enhanced deep-layer westerly flow should favor breezy/gusty surface
   winds and around 30 percent RH. Overall, these conditions appear too
   localized for an Elevated area at this time.

   ..Weinman.. 04/20/2024

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 192248

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook RESENT 3
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0548 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

   Valid 211200Z - 271200Z

   An upper-level ridging pattern will persist across the western half
   of the CONUS through at least Day 6/Wednesday, as multiple mid-level
   troughs amplify while traversing the CONUS east of the Mississippi
   River. Medium-range guidance members depict an appreciable chance
   for accumulating rainfall from portions of the southern Plains to
   the East Coast, which in combination with moist low-level
   conditions, should limit significant wildfire-spread concerns.

   By Days 7-8 (next Thursday-Friday), medium-range guidance shows a
   mid-level trough amplifying over the Rockies, encouraging surface
   cyclone development along the High Plains. A dryline should become
   established across western Kansas into western Texas each afternoon,
   with Elevated to Critically dry and windy conditions likely behind
   the dryline. However, appreciable rainfall accumulations may occur
   within the next few days over these same areas. Since the impacts of
   rainfall upon available fuels is not yet understood, higher Critical
   probabilities have been withheld this outlook.

   ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2024