ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 162000

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0300 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

   Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR EASTERN ARIZONA AND WESTERN
   NEW MEXICO...

   An upper-level short wave trough and increased mid-level winds will
   continue to bring Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions to
   the portions of the Southwest Tuesday. Latest model guidance
   consensus shows a slight northeastward push of stronger
   west-northwest winds into northwestern New Mexico for Tuesday.
   Sustained wind speeds of 15-25 mph combined with RH below 10 percent
   will promote Critical fire weather conditions within dry fuels.
   Critical highlights were nudged northward to cover this fire weather
   threat. Otherwise, previous forecast remains on track.

   ..Williams.. 06/16/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Within the base of a midlevel trough advancing eastward from the
   Great Basin into the central Rockies, moderate deep-layer westerly
   flow will overspread the Southwest during the afternoon. In response
   to this feature, a lee cyclone will deepen over the central High
   Plains. 

   ...Western NM and Eastern AZ...
   Deep boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft, coupled
   with a tightening pressure gradient peripheral to the deepening lee
   cyclone, will contribute to an expansive area of single-digit RH and
   20 mph sustained westerly surface winds across western NM and
   eastern AZ. These dry/windy conditions atop increasingly dry fuels
   will lead to critical fire-weather conditions during the afternoon.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 152201

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0501 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

   Valid 171200Z - 231200Z

   ...Day 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday...
   An eastward propagating upper-level short wave trough and associated
   increased mid-level flow will overspread the Southwest on Day
   3/Tuesday. Critical probabilities were maintained as prolonged burn
   periods with poor to moderate RH recoveries and single digit daytime
   RH values combine with southwest winds of 15-25 mph across eastern
   Arizona and western New Mexico. A 40 percent probability area was
   added for the Columbia Basin for Day 4/Tuesday as another Pacific
   Northwest short wave trough moves into the region supporting
   downslope/leeward drying and breezy west winds across the area amid
   dry fuels.

   ...Day 5-8/Thursday-Sunday...
   A deepening upper-level trough begins to impact the western U.S. on
   Day 5/Thursday, promoting a multi-day fire weather threat across the
   Great Basin with fire weather concerns shifting east into the
   Southwest and Intermountain West into the weekend. Fuels will
   continue to dry across the region under an above normal temperature
   regime with dry, breezy southwest winds setting the stage for
   increased fire spread potential. Dry and breezy conditions could
   also impact ongoing active fires across the region.

   ..Williams.. 06/15/2025