ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 230718

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0118 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

   Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level ridge will persist across the central U.S., with a
   highly amplified mid-level trough poised to gradually drift eastward
   across the Interior West tomorrow (Wednesday). Lee troughing across
   the High Plains will intensify through the day, promoting a modestly
   stronger surface wind field across the southern High Plains compared
   to Day 1. 15 mph sustained westerly surface winds will coincide with
   15-20 percent RH during the afternoon across northeast New Mexico
   into the Texas Panhandle and far southwestern Kansas. Given dry
   fuels over this region, Elevated highlights have been introduced.

   ..Squitieri.. 12/23/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 222147

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0347 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

   Valid 241200Z - 301200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level ridge over the central U.S. should begin to deamplify
   through the end of the week as an mid/upper trough gradually moves
   into Intermountain West. Well above normal temperatures under the
   ridge will likely be daily occurrences with minimal precipitation
   expected, particularly across the southern Great Plains where
   expanding rainfall deficits, dry fuels and dry and breezy conditions
   could align to support an increased fire weather threat. A
   descending upper-level trough into the Northeast along with a
   deepening surface cyclone should drive a strong cold front through
   the Great Plains and eastern U.S. over the weekend. Precipitation
   should be limited to the TN Valley/Appalachians region where deeper
   boundary layer moisture and stronger upper-level support exists. A
   more diffuse surface pressure gradient and generally lighter wind
   regime emerges as high pressure settles in east of the Continental
   Divide early next week although initial dry post-frontal flow could
   reinvigorate a fire weather threat across the southern Plains and TX
   early next week.

   ...Day 3-5/Wednesday-Friday - Southern Plains...
   Lee troughing across the Central Plains and persistent southwesterly
   flow aloft will promote dry and breezy conditions across the OK/TX
   Panhandle and northeastern NM on Day 3/Wednesday. Deeper return flow
   moisture from the Gulf will limit fire weather concerns to the
   southern High Plains Wednesday. A breakdown in the upper-level ridge
   across the central U.S. along with increasing west-southwest flow
   aloft will continue to support breezy conditions across the southern
   High Plains Thursday. A plume of Pacific moisture and mid/upper
   cloud cover associated with an impinging western U.S. trough should
   arrive Day 4/Thursday across the Southern High Plains. Additional
   cloud cover, increasing surface dewpoints and limited RH reductions
   could limit the fire weather threat to an extent, but near record
   warmth along with an increasingly dry fuelscape and breezy
   west-southwest winds supports introduction of 40% critical
   probabilities for Thursday for portions of the TX Panhandle and far
   eastern NM. Increasing west/southwest flow aloft from a mid-level
   jet and continued lee troughing should keep a dry downslope regime
   across the southern Plains through Day 5/Friday. A better boundary
   layer mixing environment with less cloud cover and persistently warm
   temperatures should support low daytime RH across the Southern
   Plains Friday. A 40% critical probability area was added to cover
   this likely fire weather concern across far eastern NM and portions
   of the TX Panhandle.

   ...Days 6-8/Saturday-Monday...
   Some forecast uncertainty remains in the timing and intensity of
   pre/post-frontal winds across the central and southern Plains over
   the weekend. This could present ongoing fire weather threats across
   the south-central CONUS and even the Southeast where minimal
   rainfall and above normal temperatures allow more receptive fuels to
   develop through early next week. Critical probabilities were
   withheld due to ongoing uncertainty and longer term ensemble
   guidance.

   ..Williams.. 12/22/2025