ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 071851

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0151 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   The latest high-resolution ensemble guidance continues to suggest
   widespread breezy post-frontal northwesterly surface winds across
   the northern High Plains tomorrow (Day 2/Sunday), with sustained
   surface winds of 20-25 mph and gusts of 30-40 mph. Ensemble guidance
   has also trended a bit drier in the low-levels, with minimum RH
   values now forecast between 20-25% across portions of central into
   northeastern Montana. Several hours of elevated to locally critical
   fire weather conditions are likely tomorrow afternoon where fuels
   are at least marginally receptive. While locally elevated fire
   weather conditions may extend further southeastward, fuels generally
   remain less receptive due to recent rainfall over the past week.

   ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0205 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will deepen across the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley
   region, promoting widespread showers/thunderstorms and/or the
   overspreading of rich low-level moisture across much of the Plains
   to the East Coast tomorrow (Sunday). As such, significant and
   widespread wildfire-spread conditions should be limited across most
   locales east of the Rockies. Similar to Day 1, dry conditions will
   prevail across the Southwest tomorrow, though surface winds appear
   too weak to warrant fire weather highlights. Widespread 20-25 mph
   sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25 percent RH are likely
   in a post cold-frontal regime over the northern High Plains tomorrow
   (Sunday) afternoon. However, fuels in this region are less
   receptive, and have received relatively more recent rainfall
   compared to far northeast Montana. As such, fire weather highlights
   have been withheld for now.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 072051

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0351 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

   Valid 091200Z - 151200Z

   Subtropical ridging over the western U.S. is forecast to briefly
   intensify Day 3/Monday into Day 4/Tuesday before it begins to break
   down later Day 4/Tuesday as mid-level troughing re-develops across
   the West and persists into next weekend.  

   ...Northwest: Day 4/Tuesday - Day 5/Wednesday...
   Dry and breezy conditions are expected to develop along/east of the
   Cascades Day 4/Tuesday and Day 5/Wednesday across portions of
   Washington and Oregon. While elevated to locally critical fire
   weather conditions are possible, probabilities for Critical
   conditions currently remains less than 40% due to continued
   run-to-run ensemble model variability. 

   ...Great Basin into the Southwest: Day 5/Wednesday - Day
   8/Saturday...
   Dry and windy conditions are forecast to develop over the western
   U.S. by mid-week as the aforementioned western U.S. trough impinges
   on the area. While some increase in fire weather conditions is
   expected from mid-week into next weekend, especially considering
   several preceding days of dry/windy conditions, uncertainty
   currently remains a bit too large to introduce probabilities for
   Critical fire weather conditions. At this time, ensemble guidance
   suggests elevated to locally critical conditions are most likely
   across portions of Utah and Nevada. 

   ...Dry Thunderstorms: Northwest into the northern Great Basin and
   northern Rockies...
   Thunderstorm potential will increase across the Northwest Day
   3/Monday before shifting into the Great Basin and northern Rockies
   Day 4/Tuesday through much of the extended period. While dry
   thunderstorms will be possible, uncertainty on coverage, mode (wet
   vs dry), and fuel receptiveness precludes introducing an area at
   this time.

   ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025