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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 220641

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1241 AM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

   Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper ridging will continue to build over the CONUS through today,
   with lee troughing poised to increase across the Plains states. Some
   dry downslope flow is expected across portions of the southern High
   Plains during the afternoon hours. From the immediate lee of the
   Rockies across Colorado, to eastern New Mexico and the Texas
   Panhandle, multiple hours of overlapping 15-20 percent RH and 15+
   mph sustained westerly surface winds are likely. Elevated highlights
   have been maintained given dry fuels.

   ..Squitieri.. 12/22/2025
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 220646

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1246 AM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

   Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper ridging will persist across the central and eastern U.S. as a
   mid-level trough impinges on the West Coast tomorrow (Tuesday).
   Surface lee troughing will continue across the central U.S., with
   gradual moisture return from the Gulf expected. A dry low-level
   airmass will continue to linger along the central and southern High
   Plains. However, surface wind fields over the western portions of
   the Plains will be weaker compared to Day 1, with no fire weather
   highlights introduced for this outlook.

   ..Squitieri.. 12/22/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 212156

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0356 PM CST Sun Dec 21 2025

   Valid 231200Z - 291200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid/upper level ridge is expected to amplify over the central U.S.
   through midweek supporting dry conditions and near record warm
   temperatures across the Plains. A deepening trough across the
   northeast Pacific should bring increasing Pacific moisture,
   including widespread rain and mountain snow into the much of the
   western U.S. through the week. Longer term model guidance indicates
   a westward shift of the mid-level ridge while troughing develops
   across the Northeast. This could invite a cold air intrusion into
   much of the eastern U.S. by early next week but still limits
   rainfall potential across the Plains.

   ...Day 3-5/Tuesday-Thursday - Southern High Plains...
   The Southern High Plains will remain the focus for fire weather
   concerns through midweek with increasingly dry fuels in place. A
   deepening lee trough across the southern High Plains will maintain
   dry and breezy conditions across portions of northeast NM, TX/OK
   Panhandles, southeast CO and southwest KS on Day 4/Wednesday. 40
   percent critical probabilities were maintained for this region.
   Enhanced southwest winds are also expected farther east into
   northern TX and central OK on Wednesday, but deeper Gulf boundary
   layer moisture should limit a more significant fire weather threat.
   Similarly breezy conditions should exist on Day 5/Thursday, but
   increasing Pacific moisture/cloud cover could considerably limit RH
   reductions across the TX/OK Panhandles and adjacent high plains.

   ...Day 6-8/Friday-Sunday...
   Relatively warm and dry conditions will persist across much of the
   central and southern Plains through the weekend. A potential strong
   cold front sweeps through the Plains and eastern CONUS as
   mid/upper-level troughing evolves across Ontario/Quebec Canadian
   provinces and northeastern U.S. However, forecast uncertainty
   remains high in terms of timing of the front, particularly across
   the Southern Plains where receptive fuels will likely exist. This
   precludes introduction of critical probabilities at this time.

   ..Williams.. 12/21/2025
      




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