en Español

000
ABNT20 KNHC 260520
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
  

000
AXNT20 KNHC 260427
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Oct 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between high
pressure building southward through the Mid-Atlantic U.S. and low
pressure south of Bermuda and an associated stationary front
extending into the Bahamas will continue to induce widespread
strong to gale-froce NE to E winds and very rough seas to 20 ft
into Mon morning. Gales will be present N of 27N between 62W and
72W, with a broader area of very rough seas N of 24N and W of 60W.
The low pressure will lift NE of the region on Mon, and gales will
end, but with the stationary front remaining in place through
mid-week, strong winds and very rough seas will likely continue
through at least Wed night, mainly north of the frontal boundary.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these hazardous marine 
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid these 
affected areas. Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast 
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website 
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details. 

Heavy Rainfall in the Northern Caribbean: Deep-layer troughing 
extending southward through the Bahamas into the NW Caribbean 
combined with abundant tropical moisture will support periods of 
heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, the southern 
Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands into Mon night. The 
trough will gradually shift N and E early this week, while 
weakening. Very heavy rainfall will bring a potential for 
dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding, particularly over 
portion of center Cuba and Haiti. Please refer to your local 
weather services and the International Desk at the Weather 
Prediction Center for more information.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis extends from 15N17W southwestward to 
06N31W. The ITCZ axis extends from 07N45W to 09N60W. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 22W and 27W. 

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure building in from the Mid-Atlantic U.S. is supporting
fresh to strong NE winds through the eastern basin, with gentle to
moderate NE winds in the western Gulf. Rough seas, locally to 12 
ft, are in the eastern Gulf, with moderate seas in the west. 

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a 1033 mb 
high pressure system over the Mid-Atlantic states and a stationary
front that extends into the Bahamas supports fresh to locally 
near gale-force NE-E winds and rough seas over the E Gulf waters, 
including the Florida Straits. This weather pattern will persist 
into mid- week, followed by diminishing winds and seas into next 
weekend. Elsewhere, gentle to locally fresh easterly winds and 
moderate seas will prevail during much of the workweek.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section above for information on heavy
rainfall over eastern Cuba and Hispaniola early this week. 

A 1009 mb low pressure is centered over far eastern Cuba near
20N75W, with a surface trough extending southward from it to
around 15N78W. A broad area of scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection extends N of 15N between 71W and 79W, impacting
both the Windward Passages and nearshore waters of Haiti. Moderate
to fresh NW winds dominate the western basin, with moderate to
fresh trades in the east. Seas basinwide are moderate, peaking
around 7 ft in the Yucatan Channel.

For the forecast, a deep trough over the Bahamas and NW Caribbean
will shift very slowly eastward through Tue and support scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean 
and Windward Passage. Meanwhile, a broad surface trough extends 
from the central Bahamas southward to a 1009 mb low near E Cuba, 
continuing to the central Caribbean, and will drift eastward 
through Tue. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. will 
continue to build southward across Florida and the Gulf of America
through early next week, leading to moderate to fresh N winds and
moderate seas across the western Caribbean W of the trough 
through late Tue. Expect rough seas in large N swell across the 
Yucatan Channel late tonight through early Tue. Otherwise, 
moderate to fresh E-SE winds in the E Caribbean will diminish to 
gentle to moderate speeds by Mon evening. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and on heavy
rainfall expected for the Turks and Caicos Islands and 
Hispaniola.

To the south of the gale-related low pressure and stationary
front described in the Special Features section, a pair of 
troughs reside. One extends southward from 25N73W to far eastern
Cuba and other stretches from 29N72W to Hispaniola. A broad area
of numerous moderate convection encompasses the Bahamas, Turks 
and Caicos, and surrounding waters. To the east of the troughs,
moderate to fresh SE winds and moderate seas extend E of 50W. 
Otherwise, the Azores high pressure ridge dominates the remainder
Atlantic subtropical waters, providing mainly moderate or weaker 
winds and moderate seas, except for fresh funneling through the 
Canary and Cabo Verde Islands.

For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between a
robust ridge over the NW Atlantic and the eastern United States 
and a stationary front from near Bermuda to the Bahamas support a 
large area of strong to gale-force NE to E winds across the 
western and central offshore zones, along and N of a stationary 
front. Very rough seas to 20 ft are expected N of the front 
between 66W and 74W. The portion of the front E of 70W is expected
to begin to lift northward tonight through Mon morning, and stall
from near Bermuda to W Cuba Mon and Mon night, then drift 
southeastward Tue through Wed night as a cold front. The 
aforementioned ridge will shift slowly eastward and into the N 
Atlantic during this time. The gale-force winds will diminish 
overnight, however, fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough 
seas in NE swell to the north of the front will persist through 
the period. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous 
marine conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid 
these affected areas. 

$$
Konarik
  

en Español

718 
ABPZ20 KNHC 260513
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Oct 25 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Vance, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Acapulco, 
Mexico, and on Tropical Storm Olana, located several hundred miles 
west-southwest of Johnston Atoll.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Olana are issued under 
WMO header WTPA33 KNHC and under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP3. 
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Olana are issued under 
WMO header WTPA23 KNHC and under AWIPS header HFOTCMCP3.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
  

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260838
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon Oct 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0600 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Vance is centered near 15.3N 105.1W at 26/0900
UTC, moving northwest at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central
pressure is 995 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 55 kt with
gusts to 65 kt. Peak seas are currently around 23 ft or 7 m. 
Numerous moderate isolated to scattered strong convection is 
noted within 60 nm of the center. Numerous moderate convection is
elsewhere within 120 nm of the center, except within 210 nm in 
the NE quadrant. Vance is moving toward the northwest. A west- 
northwestward motion is expected over the next day or so, 
followed by a turn toward the north around midweek. Gradual 
weakening is forecast for the next several days. Periods of 
heavy rainfall associated with Vance will impact portions of 
western Mexico during much of this week. This rainfall may 
produce flooding and mudslides across Colima, Nayarit, and 
Sinaloa, along with western portions of Michoacán, Jalisco, and 
Durango, especially in areas along steep terrain. Swells 
generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of southern 
and southwestern Mexico during the next several days. These 
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current 
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather 
office. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the 
National Hurricane Center at website - 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest 
Vance NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at 
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient over 
Mexico from strong high pressure ridging is currently supporting 
north to northeast winds of 25 to 35 kt in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec as measured by recent ASCAT scatterometer data
confirming minimal gales. These winds are forecast to diminish 
to just below gale force by early this afternoon as the gradient
slackens some. Resultant locally rough seas will slowly subside 
through Tue. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by 
the National Hurricane Center at website 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for further 
details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from the SW Caribbean Sea at
11N76W to across the Gulf of Panama to 07N82.5W to 08N87W to
06.5N95W to 08N99.5W well SE of Tropical Storm Vance, then
resumes well SW of Vance from 08N111W to 1009 mb low pressure
near 07N132.5W to 06.5N135W. The ITCZ extends from 06.5N135W to
07N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 03.4S to 09N between 77W and 81W, and from 00N to 11N 
between 89W and 105W. Similar convection is noted from 02.5N to 
04.5N between 131W and 134W, and from 01N to 02.5N between 137W 
and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please see the Special Features section above for information on
Tropical Storm Vance, and on a Gale Warning for the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec. 

Aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec and Tropical Storm Vance, 
winds are moderate or weaker, except locally fresh offshore Baja
California from near Punta Eugenia northward. Seas are moderate 
away from Vance and the Gulf of Tehuantepec region, except slight
in the Gulf of California away from the entrance where they are 
higher due to SE swells moving in from Vance.

For the forecast, Tropical Storm Vance will move to 15.6N 105.9W
this afternoon, 16.1N 106.9W Tue morning, 17.2N 107.6W Tue 
afternoon, 18.5N 108.0W Wed morning, 19.9N 108.1W Wed afternoon, 
and 21.4N 108.0W Thu morning. Vance will weaken to a remnant low 
over 23.2N 107.9W early Fri. Elsewhere, N-NE gale force gap 
winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec are expected to diminish to just
below gale force by early this afternoon as the gradient 
slackens some. Resultant seas will slowly subside through Tue. 
Winds there will then pulse at fresh to strong speeds through Thu
night. Moderate to fresh winds will pulse nearshore Baja 
California Norte through Tue evening. Moderate or weaker winds 
along with moderate seas will prevail elsewhere away from Vance 
and the Gulf of Tehuantepec, except mainly slight seas in the 
Gulf of California.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas are 
over and downstream the Gulf of Papagayo. Moderate to fresh NW 
winds are in the Gulf of Panama. Winds are moderate or weaker 
elsewhere with moderate seas, except slight seas nearshore 
Colombia. Very active convection is present offshore Ecuador,
Colombia and Panama as described above with locally higher winds
and seas possible.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE to E winds will pulse in
the Gulf of Papagayo at times through the week, except fresh to
strong later this morning. Moderate to fresh NW winds will pulse
in the Gulf of Panama through this evening, and then again 
starting late Wed night. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and 
moderate seas will continue elsewhere, except mainly slight 
nearshore Colombia. Looking ahead, seas may build to rough in SW
swell S of the Equator by the end of the week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

See Special Features section above for information on Tropical 
Storm Vance.

High pressure covers the area generally N of about 18N and W of 
110W. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are from 14N to 18N 
between 120W and 130W between the high and northward troughing 
along the monsoon trough near 130W. A frontal system is just WNW 
of 30N140W with fresh to locally strong SE to S winds and rough 
seas just SE of 30N140W. Winds are moderate or weaker with 
moderate seas across the remainder of the open waters away from 
Vance.

For the forecast, Tropical Storm Vance will move to 15.6N 105.9W
this afternoon, 16.1N 106.9W Tue morning, 17.2N 107.6W Tue 
afternoon, 18.5N 108.0W Wed morning, 19.9N 108.1W Wed afternoon, 
and 21.4N 108.0W Thu morning. Vance will weaken to a remnant low 
over 23.2N 107.9W early Fri. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker 
winds and moderate seas will persist into around the middle part 
of the week. Swells generated from a frontal system just WNW of 
the discussion waters will support with fresh to locally strong 
SE to S winds over the far NW portion of the area into the early 
part of the week. These conditions will spread slightly eastward 
over the waters roughly N of about 28N and W of 138W through Wed.
Meanwhile, a new set of southerly swell is expected to spread 
into the S-central waters later today, building seas to a rough 
state over the waters S of about 05N between 105W and 130W by 
late Wed night. These seas are expected to linger through at 
least Fri night.

$$
Lewitsky
  

en Español

000
ACPN50 PHFO 260513
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM HST Sun Oct 25 2026

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Vance, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Acapulco,
Mexico, and on Tropical Storm Olana, located several hundred miles
west-southwest of Johnston Atoll.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Olana are issued under
WMO header WTPA33 KNHC and under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Olana are issued under
WMO header WTPA23 KNHC and under AWIPS header HFOTCMCP3.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
NNNN