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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical 
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, 
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions 
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN
    

000
AXNT20 KNHC 051641
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Apr 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1620 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of 
Liberia near 06N09W and continues southwestward to 02N16W. The
ITCZ extends from 02N16W to 02S43W. Scattered showers are along
the ITCZ and monsoon trough.

GULF OF AMERICA...

A new cold front extends from SE Louisiana to NE Mexico. Fresh to
strong NE winds and building 4-6 ft seas follow the front in the
NW Gulf. Scattered moderate convection is from 24N to 28N west of
94W, and within 120 nm ahead of the remainder of the front.
Elsewhere, the diurnal trough is analyzed in the Bay of Campeche,
and weak troughs are analyzed in the E Gulf and inland over the
Florida Peninsula. Scattered showers are near these troughs.
Gentle to moderate trades, and 2-4 ft seas, prevail across the
waters ahead of the front. 

For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will reach from 
near Apalachicola, Florida to 26N95W and to 19N95W by this 
evening, then slow down as it reaches from near Tampa to 26N92W 
and stationary to 18N94W Mon afternoon, from southwest Florida to 
25N90W to 24N94W and stationary to 18N94W late Mon night, then 
stall and perhaps linger into most of Thu. Scattered showers and 
thunderstorms, some with gusty winds, are expected  near the 
front. Fresh to strong northeast northeast winds and rough seas 
will develop behind the front across portions of the western Gulf 
into Mon, then similar conditions will materialize over the NE 
Gulf Tue through Thu. Near gale, to at times gale, conditions are 
possible near Florida Wed and Wed night. 

CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between subtropical Atlantic high pressure 
and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to locally strong
trades offshore Colombia. Seas are analyzed to be 7-9 ft, per the
latest satellite altimeter data received for the region. 
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trade winds and 4-7 ft seas are noted
in the eastern and central basin, and gentle trades with 2-4 ft 
seas are analyzed in the western basin. Scattered moderate 
convection is apparent across the southern Windward Islands.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the basin will shift 
eastward through Mon allowing for pulsing strong winds and rough 
seas offshore Colombia to diminish. A trough just north of 
Hispaniola will drift west-northwestward toward the Bahamas 
through Tue. The gradient between it and central Atlantic high 
pressure will maintain fresh trade winds across the eastern 
Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Trades may 
increase again in the south-central Caribbean beginning during the
middle part of the week as a new and stronger area of high 
pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic in the wake of
a cold front.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Areas of high pressure centered near the Azores and Bermuda are 
dominating the basin. Satellite scatterometer data indicates 
moderate to fresh trades north of 18N west of 50W, across most of 
the western Atlantic offshore zones. Seas have built to 8-10 ft
from 18N to 28N between 60W and 76W, including along the eastern 
islands of the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos. Scattered showers are
also affecting these waters. Elsewhere across the tropical
Atlantic, trades are moderate or weaker with 4-7 ft seas in open
waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong east winds and 
rough seas E of the Bahamas and N of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico 
will gradually decrease into Mon as Bermuda high pressure moves E 
and weakens. In the wake of the high, a cold front will move off 
the SE U.S. coast early Mon, then slide slowly eastward through 
early week. As it does, a westward moving inverted trough N of 
Hispaniola will likely interact with the front and low pressure 
may form as a result along the front in the vicinity of the 
Bahamas. Any low that forms will track northeastward along the 
frontal boundary, then N of the region Wed into Thu. The pressure 
gradient between the low pressure and high pressure building in to
the SE U.S. will lead to widespread strong to near gale-force 
northeast winds N and W of the cold front Tue through late week, 
along with very rough seas. Mariners are advised to keep up with 
the latest forecast and stay informed abreast for possible gale 
conditions developing as early as Tue.

$$
Mahoney
  

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather 
Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific 
and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the 
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as 
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
    

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 051518
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sun Apr 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: Building ridge across the 
eastern slopes of the Sierra Madre Mountains in Mexico will
force the next gap wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Winds 
are in the process of increasing to 20 to 30 kt, with seas 
building to 8 ft later today. Winds will further increase to 
gale force overnight tonight into early Mon, with seas building 
to 12 or 13 ft on Mon night into early Tue. Gusty winds to near 
storm force may occur. These marine conditions are forecast to 
persist through early Tue morning. Seas generated from this gap 
wind event will spread well away from the Tehuantepec area, with 
seas 8 ft or greater reaching as far south as 11N Mon night into 
Tue. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the 
National Hurricane Center at website: 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 06N95W. The ITCZ 
stretches from 06N95W to 06N120W to beyond 03N140W. A second 
ITCZ is located south of the Equator and runs from 03.4S117W to
beyond 03.4S120W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection 
is present from 05N to 08N between 80W and 84W, and within 90 nm
either side of the ITCZ between 120W and 140W. Similar convection
is within 150 nm of the coast of Colombia S of 06N.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please refer to the Special Features section for details on a
developing Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning.

Otherwise, gentle to moderate winds are found N of 22N, including
offshore Baja California and in the Gulf of California, with 
high pressure ridging W of the peninsula and troughing over NW 
Mexico. Light to gentle winds are found elsewhere away from the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec. Seas are 6-7 ft W of 110W in mixed S and NW 
swell, and 6 ft elsewhere in mainly S swell from the entrance of 
the Gulf of California S-SE to offshore SW and southern Mexico. 
Seas are 2-4 ft in the remainder of the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, other than the developing Gale Warning in the
Gulf of Tehuantepec, NW swell off Baja California will subside
through tonight. Gentle to moderate winds and slight seas will 
prevail in the Gulf of California through much of the week,
pulsing to moderate to fresh in the central portion early week. 
Moderate to locally fresh NW winds and moderate seas are expected
off Baja California through the forecast period. However, winds 
may increase to strong N of Punta Eugenia Thu night.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

High pressure north of the Caribbean is supporting fresh to
locally strong easterly trade winds across the Gulf of Papagayo 
region. Seas in these waters are 5-7 ft. Farther east, moderate 
to locally fresh northerly winds and moderate seas are present in
the Gulf of Panama. Meanwhile, light to gentle winds and 
moderate seas dominate the remainder of the offshore forecast 
waters. Some active convection is present offshore Colombia and
from near the Azuero Peninsula SSW as described above.

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds are expected during the 
nighttime and early morning hours in the Papagayo region and 
downwind to about 89W through the forecast period. Moderate to 
locally fresh northerly winds are forecast in the Gulf of Panama 
through much of the week. A gap wind event in the Tehuantepec 
region will produce seas to 8 ft in the far offshore waters of 
Guatemala Mon night through Tue. Light to gentle winds and 
moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A deep upper level trough and a weak surface trough combine to
produce abundant cloudiness and some showers over the western
waters, especially N of 17N and W of 120W. At the surface, a 
1020 mb high pressure near 30N130W, wedged between two low 
pressure systems, dominates the remainder of the tropical eastern
Pacific. Moderate to fresh easterly winds N of the ITCZ and W of
110W. Seas in these waters remain around 6 to 8 ft. Elsewhere, 
moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, ridging will support moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate to locally rough seas across the 
trade wind zone into the middle of the week, supporting seas to
around 8 ft. A cold front is forecast to reach 30N140W tonight, 
and extend from 30N137W to 24N140W by Mon morning. Gentle to 
moderate winds are forecast on either side of the front. Seas 
will briefly build to 9 ft behind the front Mon night into Tue.
Seas may build to around 8 ft in southerly swell near 03.4S by
the end of the week.

$$
Lewitsky
  

No Storms to Report