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Tropical Atlantic & Pacific Basin Outlooks & Discussions
Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.
$$ Forecaster Bucci NNNN
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Tropical Weather Discussion
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
000
AXNT20 KNHC 222048
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Dec 23 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2045 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A cold front will move through
the Central Atlantic waters early this week, with strong to near
gale-force northerly winds behind it. Significant NW swell, with
period of 8 to 12 seconds, generated by gales N of the region will
accompany these winds and combine with wind-waves to induce very
rough seas SE of Bermuda starting tonight, spreading E across waters
N of 20N through Wed. Widespread seas of 12 to 17 ft can be expected
from 40W to 68W during this period. Please read the latest High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic near 08.5N13W and
extends southwestward to 05.5N20W. The ITCZ extends from 05.5N20W
to 02N37W to 02N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
01N to 08N between 05W and 27W, and from 01S to 10N between 27W
and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough is over the SW Gulf, generating scattered
moderate convection. Surface ridging dominates elsewhere.
Moderate to fresh NE to E winds prevail over the SE Gulf. Moderate
winds are elsewhere E of 93W. Gentle to moderate winds are W of
93W. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the SE Gulf, and 2-4 ft
elsewhere.
For the forecast, strong high pressure centered over the Mid-
Atlantic States will move eastward into the western Atlantic on
Tue. This system will support fresh to strong winds and moderate
to rough seas across the Straits of Florida and the SE Gulf
through tonight, then mainly fresh winds will prevail through Wed
night. A ridge will remain in control of the weather pattern
across the Gulf region trough the middle of the week. A high
pressure center will settle over the NE Gulf Thu through Fri
producing mainly a gentle to moderate wind flow.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the high pressure N of the region and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds, and seas of
6-9 ft over the south central Caribbean. Fresh to locally strong
winds, and seas of 5-6 ft are elsewhere W of 70W. E of 70W, gentle
to moderate winds, and seas of 4-5 ft prevail.
For the forecast, strong high pressure N of the area combined
with the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds in the
lee of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and the central Caribbean
through at least Wed. Otherwise, a new set of long period
northerly swell will reach the NE Caribbean and the waters just E
of the Leeward Islands, including the Atlantic passages by the
middle of the week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on a significant
swell event that will start tonight, bringing very rough seas to
part of the central Atlantic into mid-week.
A cold front extends from 31N60W to the central Bahamas and
central Cuba. A second cold front extends from 31N51W to 26N38W.
Scattered moderate convection is in the vicinity of these fronts N
of 26N. Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-8 ft are west of the
first front. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-10 ft prevail
E of 35W. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 6-7 ft,
prevail.
For the forecast W of 55W, the front will rapidly progress
eastward reaching the SE waters by Tue morning. At that time, the
cold front will extend from 25N55W to eastern Cuba near 21N76W.
Then, the front will reach from 22N55W to 20N74W by Wed morning
while dissipating. Strong winds and rough to very rough seas in
northerly swell are expected in the wake of the front through the
middle of week. A second cold front is forecast to reach the N
waters on Wed, and extend from 30N55W to the NW Bahamas by Thu
morning. Strong winds and rough seas are expected behind the
front.
$$
AL
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Tropical Weather Outlook
Eastern Pacific
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.
$$ Forecaster Gibbs NNNN
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Tropical Weather Discussion
Eastern Pacific
000
AXPZ20 KNHC 222016
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Mon Dec 22 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between
high pressure north of the area and the eastern north Pacific
monsoon trough will support fresh to near gale- force northerly
winds and moderate to locally rough seas through the end of the
week. Winds are expected to pulse to gale- force at night tonight
and Tue night. Seas will peak around 11 ft (3.5 M) with the
strongest winds. Conditions will improve by the weekend.
Northern Waters Gale Warning: A stationary front extends from
30N133W to 24N140W. A low pressure system is expected to form
along the front tonight and strengthen into Tue. The pressure
gradient between this area of low pressure and high pressure NW
of the area will produce strong to gale- force winds in the
northern waters, mainly north of 28N between 127W and 135W,
Tue. Winds will decrease below gale- force Tue evening as the
low pressure moves farther north of our waters. Seas will build
to near 15 ft with this system. A second gale force low north of
the area will generate a new set of large NW swell, which will
reinforce these very rough seas. Combined seas of 12 to 18 ft
will spread over the northern waters, covering much of the waters
N of 24N and W of 125W by Thu before starting to subside.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more information.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
The monsoon trough extends from 09.5N84W to 05N94W to 07N104W.
The ITCZ continues from 07N104W to 10N115W. It resumes from
10N128W to 09N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
07N to 15N between 102W and 122W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Please read the Special Features section for more details on a
Gale Warning in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
Aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, a weak pressure gradient over
the discussion area is supporting gentle to locally moderate
winds, and slight to moderate seas.
For the forecast aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, northwest
swell will propagate into the waters north of Punta Eugenia by
Wed. A reinforcing swell will spread rough seas across the
offshore waters of the Baja California peninsula the end of the
week into the weekend. Fresh to strong southerly winds may
develop in the northern Gulf of California Wed night into Thu.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Fresh to locally strong winds are over and downstream the Gulf of
Papagayo. Moderate winds are elsewhere N of 09N. Moderate to
locally fresh winds are over the Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle
winds are elsewhere N of 03N. Gentle to moderate winds are south
of 04N. Seas are in the 3-5 ft range over the discussion waters,
except for the Gulf of Papagayo where seas of 5-6 ft prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and the eastern north Pacific monsoon trough
will support pulsing fresh to strong northeast to east gap winds
in the Gulf of Papagayo over the next several days. Mainly gentle
to moderate north winds are expected in The Gulf of Panama
during the period, occasionally reaching fresh speeds at night.
Moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are
expected elsewhere through the period.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
Please read the Special Features section for more details on the
Gale Warning in the northern waters.
A surface trough extends from 18N123W to 07N123W. A stationary
front extends from 30N133W to 24N140W, producing scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms near the boundary. Fresh to
strong winds are west of this front. A weak pressure gradient
dominates the discussion waters, with gentle to moderate winds
north of the monsoon trough/ITCZ to near 20N, and light to gentle
winds elsewhere N of 20N. S of the monsoon trough/ITCZ, moderate
winds prevail. Moderate seas prevail across the discussion
waters.
For the forecast, the surface trough will enhance convection with
locally higher winds over the next couple of days. Low pressure
will develop tonight along the front in the far NW waters. The
low and front will shift across the northwest waters, with the
cold front shifting southeastward into Tue before lifting north
of the discussion area. A tight gradient between the low and high
pressure NW of the area will produce strong to gale- force
northwest to north winds north of about 28N and between 127W and
135W by early Tue. Rough to very rough seas are expected to
build with these winds. This system will shift N of the area with
winds over the discussion waters associated with this feature
diminishing. A second gale force low will develop north of the
area with a broad wind field bringing strong to near gale force
winds over the northern discussion waters by midweek. A set of
large NW swell generated from this feature will reinforce the
rough seas generated from the first low.
$$
AL
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Tropical Weather Discussion
Central Pacific
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