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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical 
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, 
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions 
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN
    

000
AXNT20 KNHC 180319
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Feb 18 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0315 UTC. 

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 05N20W. 
The ITCZ extends from 05N20W to 00N35W and to 01S49W. Scattered 
moderate to isolated strong convection is observed south of 03N
and west of 30W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A subtropical ridge centered between the United States and Bermuda
extends to the Gulf of America, supporting moderate to fresh
southerly winds over the western Gulf waters and moderate seas.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 2-4 ft are
noted north and west of the Yucatan peninsula. Elsewhere, 
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, a high pressure ridge extends from the western 
Atlantic to the central Gulf. The combination of the ridge and 
broad low pressure over Texas and northern Mexico associated with 
a trough will lead to a tightening of the pressure gradient over 
the western and central Gulf waters starting tonight causing 
moderate to fresh south return flow over those waters through 
early Fri evening. Looking ahead, that low pressure will pull a 
cold front over the NW Gulf on Sat afternoon, followed by fresh to
near gale north to northeast winds expected Sat night through Sun
night. Gale conditions are possible offshore Tampico on Sun and 
offshore Veracruz Sun afternoon and Sun night. Mariners are urged 
to stay up to data with the latest forecasts. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA... 

A tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of
the Caribbean and lower pressures in NW South America sustain
strong to near gale-force NE winds off NW Colombia and the Gulf 
of Venezuela. This was confirmed by a recent scatterometer
satellite pass. Seas in these waters are 6-10 ft. Moderate to 
fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas are found in the 
north-central Caribbean, including the Windward Passage. Moderate
to locally fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in 
the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and 
slight to moderate seas are prevalent. A few showers are affecting
the Leeward Islands, SE Hispaniola and Jamaica.

For the forecast, the combination of Atlantic high pressure and
relatively lower pressure in northern South America will continue
to result in fresh to strong northeast to east trades in the
south-central Caribbean through the forecast period. Winds
may pulse to near gale-force off Colombia at night on Fri and 
Sat. Fresh northeast winds will pulse in the Windward Passage 
through Thu. Fresh to strong east to southeast winds will begin to
pulse in the Gulf of Honduras Wed evening and continue through 
Sat night, while trades elsewhere will generally remain moderate 
to fresh. Additionally, large north swell is expected to impact 
the tropical N Atlantic waters and the Anegada/Mona Passages 
beginning on Thu and likely subsiding on Sat.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a hurricane-force extratropical low well
south of Newfoundland, enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N55W 
and continues southwestward to 26N63W, where it becomes a 
stationary front to the NW Bahamas. Numerous moderate to isolated 
strong convection is noted ahead of the cold front to 51W and 
north of 24N. Moderate to locally fresh winds and rough seas are
found behind these frontal boundaries. Moderate to fresh SW winds
and moderate to rough seas are evident ahead of the cold front to
49W and north of 27W. 

The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge supporting moderate to fresh NE-E winds and
moderate to rough seas south and east of a line from 31N25W to 
the Leeward Islands. The strongest winds and highest seas are
found in the deep tropics near 07N45W. Elsewhere, light to gentle
winds and moderate seas are present. Saharan dust is evident in
the eastern Atlantic.

For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front extending from 31N59W
to the N Bahamas this morning will move from 28N55W to the 
central Bahamas Wed morning, then dissipate by Thu. Fresh to 
strong SW winds ahead of the cold front north of 29N will pull 
north of our waters by this evening. In the wake of the front, 
large to very large N swell will occur with 12 ft or greater seas 
sliding eastward north of 28N through Wed night. 8 ft seas will 
progress equatorward reaching 20N by Thu before diminishing on 
Fri. Winds will become quiescent over forecast waters from Wed 
through Sat, as a high pressure ridge settles in along 27N. 
Looking ahead, a strong cold front should emerge from the SE 
United States coast on Sun, followed by increasing NW winds and 
building seas. 

$$
Delgado
  

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather 
Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific 
and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the 
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as 
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
    

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 180719
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Wed Feb 18 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Large NW Swell: New large and significant swell with
seas of 12 ft or greater is just N of 30N and propagating
southward, while rough seas cover a large area ahead of it,
across the waters N fo 08N and W of 114W. Seas of 12 ft or 
greater will cover the waters from 26N to 30N between Baja 
California and 140W by this evening while peaking around 15 ft 
near 30N between 120W and 130W, then gradually decaying back 
below 12 ft by Thu evening. Looking ahead, another significant 
and large NW swell event is possible in the NW waters late in the
upcoming weekend into early next week. Please refer to the 
latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough extends from 08.5N84W to 01N97W. The ITCZ extends from
01N97W to 00.5N120W to beyond 04.5N140W. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted from 02N to 06N between 85W and 95W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

The tail end of a cold front that was previously over NW Mexico
to the southern Gulf of California has dissipated over our area.
High pressure centered NW of the area extends a ridge from NW to
SE across the offshore waters. A locally tight pressure gradient
between the ridging and troughing near SW Mexico supports fresh
to strong NW-N winds near Cabo Corrientes. Winds are mainly
moderate or weaker elsewhere, except locally fresh possibly
nearshore of Baja California from Punta Eugenia southward, as
well as from the southern Gulf of California to near Cabo
Corrientes. Rough seas of 8 ft or greater are spreading offshore
Baja California from near Cabo San Lazaro northwestward. Seas 
are mainly moderate elsewhere, except slight in the majority of 
the Gulf of California as well as in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.

For the forecast, high pressure will continue build in across 
the area waters through Fri, producing fresh to locally strong 
northerly winds nearshore Baja California through Thu night. 
Fresh to strong winds near Cabo Corrientes will persist for the
next few hours before diminishing to fresh. Fresh winds will 
dominate the central and southern Gulf of California Sat through 
Sun night due to a locally tight pressure gradient. NW swell will
continue to build across the waters of Baja California today, 
then become reinforced tonight through the end of the week, 
decaying during the upcoming weekend. 

Looking ahead, long range model guidance indicates the potential for 
at least a strong gale-force northerly gap wind event in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec late in the upcoming weekend into early next week, 
although uncertainty exists being so far out in time. Please stay 
tuned as we get closer to this next potential event.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to locally strong NE to E offshore winds prevail across 
the Papagayo region, along with 4 to 7 ft seas. Moderate to 
locally fresh northerly winds are occurring across the Gulf of 
Panama and veer NE and pass south of the Azuero Peninsula. Winds 
are light to gentle elsewhere. Seas are mainly 2 to 4 ft 
elsewhere, locally to 5 ft.

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE to E gap winds and moderate
seas will pulse across the Papagayo region as high pressure 
builds across Central America from the north, continuing through 
early Thu, then become moderate to fresh thereafter. Fresh to
strong winds may return there late in the weekend into early next
week. Moderate N to NE winds will pulse to locally fresh from 
the Gulf of Panama to south of the Azuero Peninsula through today.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas 
will change little through the next several days. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
significant NW swell forecast for the northern waters, and for
another possible event late in the upcoming weekend and into
early next week.

A cold front is analyzed N of the area from near the Channel
Islands of California ] area offshore. Fresh to strong 
associated winds are pushing ahead of the front along with very 
rough swells enclosing on 30N. A ridge extends across the waters 
from near 30N139W to offshore SW Mexico. Deep layered troughing 
has developed near 140W and the W-central waters with scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection from 10N to 25N between
130W and 140W. Associated fresh to near gale-force winds cover 
the waters roughly from 10N to 24N between 125W and 140W. Winds 
are mainly moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters.
For seas, rough seas cover the waters from 08N to 30N between 
114W and 140W. Very rough seas are from 11N to 24N between 136W 
and 140W near the troughing.

For the forecast, high pressure will build across the waters N of
the ITCZ while the deep layered troughing persists in the 
W-central waters near 140W. This scenario will support a broad 
area of fresh to near gale-force trades N of the ITCZ to near 
24N and W of 130W through early Fri, along with rough to very 
rough seas. Expect active showers and thunderstorms to accompany 
these increasing trades. Marine conditions should improve by the 
end of the week and into the weekend as the disturbance 
dissipates and the pressure gradient weakens. New, large and
significant swells may move into the NW waters by the end of the
weekend and into early next week.

$$
Lewitsky
  

No Storms to Report