ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven

NNNN

302 
AXNT20 KNHC 221101
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1205 UTC Fri Nov 22 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning and Significant Swell Event: A Gale Warning
is in effect off the coast of the southeastern United States, 
north of 30N and east of 76W, in the wake of a reinforcing cold 
front that will quickly sweep across the waters N and NE of the 
Bahamas today through Sat night. The strongest winds will occur 
north of 30N today and tonight. Rough to very rough seas will 
accompany these winds, with seas of 12 to 15 ft expected north of 
28N between 77W and 65W. Long-period N swell with this front will 
produce rough seas for areas north of 25N by Sat morning. Rough 
seas will shift eastward through this weekend, and seas greater 
than 8 ft will continue into next week for areas east of 65W.

For more details, please read the latest NWS High Seas 
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website 
https//www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml 

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and continues
southwestward to 06N18W. The ITCZ extends from 06N18W to 04N30W to
06N52W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
from 06N to 12N between 40W and 49W. Widely scattered moderate
convection is occurring from 07N to 11N between 20W and 35W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A cold front extends from 30N83W to 29N87W to 29N90W in the
northeastern Gulf of Mexico. Recent scatterometer satellite data
show strong N to NW winds occurring north of 27.5N and east of
87.5W ahead of the front. Marine observations indicate seas of 6
to 8 ft near these winds. Moderate to fresh N to NW winds, 
confirmed by scatterometer satellite data, are occurring across 
central and eastern portions of the basin, as well as in far 
southern portions of the Bay of Campeche. Elsewhere, seas of 7 to 
8 ft are noted in the Yucatan Channel behind a cold front moving 
through the central Caribbean Sea. Otherwise, building high 
pressure in the western Gulf is supporting light to gentle N to 
NE winds and slight to locally moderate seas. 

For the forecast, the cold front moving through the northeastern
Gulf of Mexico will continue to support fresh NW winds across the
eastern half of the basin this morning, and strong N winds will 
occur north of 27N and east of 88.5W. Locally rough seas will 
occur near the strongest winds. Locally rough seas of 8 to 9 ft 
will continue through the Yucatan Channel this morning behind the 
cold front in the central Caribbean. Winds across the basin will 
diminish to gentle to moderate speeds by Sat morning as high 
pressure develops over the southeastern United States. Moderate 
to locally fresh SE winds look to develop over the western Gulf 
Sun into early next week ahead of developing low pressure in the 
central United States. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A cold front extends from 21N77W to 17N80W to 14N83W. Widely
scattered convection is noted in the central Caribbean near the
front. Recent scatterometer satellite data show widespread fresh
to locally strong N to NW winds and moderate seas occurring 
behind the front, impacting most of the northwestern Caribbean.
Locally rough seas of 8 to 9 ft are occurring through the Yucatan
Channel. Elsewhere, the eastern edge of the Pacific monsoon 
trough is leading to scattered moderate to locally strong 
convection south of 13N. A weak pressure gradient dominates the 
remainder of the basin, where light to gentle winds and slight 
seas prevail.

For the forecast, the cold front extending from eastern Cuba to 
northern Nicaragua will progress southeastward through tonight to 
20N77W to 10N83W, before stalling on Sat and gradually 
dissipating. Fresh to locally strong N winds will continue in the
wake of the front, with the strongest winds occurring offshore of
Nicaragua tonight through Sat morning. Rough seas of 8 to 9 ft 
will continue behind the front through the Yucatan Channel this 
morning. A tightening pressure gradient between developing low 
pressure in the southwestern Caribbean and high pressure building 
in the southeastern United States will promote fresh NE winds in 
the Atlantic Passages and in the lee of Cuba on Sat, and moderate 
to fresh E to NE winds and moderate seas in E swell will develop 
across much of the basin Sun through early next week. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for parts of the SW N Atlantic. 
Please, see the Special Features section for more information. 

A cold front has been analyzed from 31N68W to 26N74W to 22N77W.
Fresh to locally strong SW winds and locally rough seas are 
occurring along and ahead of this front, generally north of 27N. 
A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are along the frontal 
boundary. A reinforcing cold front is moving into the region and
is located from 31N78W to 30N81W. Widespread fresh winds are
occurring along the east coast of Florida and strong winds are
developing north of 29N between 73W and 81W. Elsewhere, a surface
trough is analyzed over the northern Lesser Antilles from 17N63W 
to 23N58W; isolated showers are observed near this trough. Another
trough, located from 25.5N to 31N39W trailing a cold front, is 
leading to scattered moderate convection along and to the east of 
the trough. NW swell behind this trough is supporting seas of 8 
to 10 ft north of 28N between 42W and 57W. Otherwise, ridging 
dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, a Gale Warning is in effect off the
coast of the southeastern United States, north of 30N and east of
76W, in the wake of a reinforcing cold front that will quickly 
sweep across the waters N and NE of the Bahamas today through Sat 
night. The strongest winds will occur north of 30N today and 
tonight. Rough to very rough seas will accompany these winds, 
with seas of 12 to 15 ft expected north of 28N between 77W and 
65W. Long-period N swell with this front will produce rough seas 
for areas north of 25N by Sat morning. Rough seas will shift 
eastward through this weekend, and seas greater than 8 ft will 
continue into next week for areas east of 65W. Meanwhile, another 
cold front to the east of the aforementioned front will progress 
eastward today, with fresh to strong SW winds occurring along and 
ahead of the front. Winds associated with both fronts will merge 
on Sat before the system lifts to the north of the area. 
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh E winds and moderate seas will 
prevail south of 20N into next week. 

$$
ADAMS

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 AM PST Fri Nov 22 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven

NNNN

404 
AXPZ20 KNHC 220854
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Nov 22 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: A ridge extending along the 
eastern slopes of the Sierra Madre Mountains in eastern Mexico, 
and across the western Gulf of Mexico continues to build across 
southeastern Mexico and northern Central America, behind a cold 
front across the NW Caribbean. This pressure gradient supports
gale-force N winds across the Tehuantepec region early this
morning, with peak seas estimated at 16 ft. Recent satellite 
scatterometer wind data showed winds to near 40 kt, with gale- 
force winds extending southward of the Gulf to near 13N. Gale- 
force winds and seas in excess of 12 ft are expected to persist 
through Sat morning before gradually diminishing through Sun. 
Large seas generated from this strong gap wind event will spread 
well away from the Tehuantepec area, with seas 8 ft or greater 
reaching as far south as 08N by Fri morning. Marine interests 
transiting across the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Sat morning 
should take the necessary action to avoid hazardous marine 
conditions over these affected waters. 

For more details, please read the latest NWS High Seas 
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website 
https//www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from near 10N75W to 12N91W to 09N97W 
to 13.5N115W to 10N122W. The ITCZ continues from 10N122W to 
beyond 09.5N140W. Widely scattered moderate convection is noted 
within 300 nm of the coast between 77W and 94W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 08N to 12N between 100W and 
104W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Please.
see the Special Features section above for more details. 

A broad ridge, anchored by a 1022 mb high pressure located near 
27N124W, dominates the offshore waters of Baja California. This 
pattern is promoting light to gentle winds across the Baja 
California offshore waters where seas are 5 to 8 ft in NW swell, 
highest N of Punta Eugenia, and 9 ft NW and W of Isla Guadalupe. 
Elsewhere, the tight pressure gradient between the ridge and a 
trough in northwestern Mexico is supporting fresh NW winds in 
the central Gulf of California. Seas are 4 to 5 ft across the 
central and southern part of the Gulf while seas of 2 to 3 ft 
area noted over the northern Gulf. Light to gentle winds and seas
of 3 to 5 ft in mixed swell dominate the remainder of the 
Mexican offshore waters between Cabo Corrientes and Puerto Angel.

For the forecast, gale-force N winds will persist across the 
Tehuantepec area through Sat morning before gradually diminishing
through Sun. Elsewhere, 1022 mb high pressure centered W of Baja
California near 27N124W will remain in control of the weather 
pattern across the Baja waters through early next week, 
supporting gentle to moderate NW to N winds. Moderate NW swell 
will continue to dominate area seas today before subsiding
through the weekend. The high pressure will weaken Sun through 
Mon as a weak cold front approaches the Baja Norte offshore 
waters from the NW.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Overnight satellite derived scatterometer wind data indicated 
gentle to moderate south to southwest winds across the offshore 
waters of southern Colombia and Ecuador where seas are in the 5 
to 7 ft range. Moderate convection continues across these waters 
E of 83W, fueled by these winds. Elsewhere, light to gentle 
generally onshore winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft prevail S of 10N,
while winds gentle offshore NE winds have developed across the
waters N of 10N.

For the forecast, NW swell generated by gale-force winds in the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec will impact the far western Guatemala 
offshore waters through early Sat. A return to offshore gap winds
is occurring across the waters N of 10N this morning, and will 
continue through Mon, with fresh to strong NE to E winds expected
across the Papagayo region Fri night through early Sun, as high 
pressure builds across the NW Caribbean and northern Central 
America. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas 
will prevail. Looking ahead, cross equatorial SW swell is 
expected to move into the regional waters Sun night, increasing 
seas to 8 ft between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands, and 5 to 
7 ft elsewhere early Mon through Tue. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 1022 mb high pressure center located near 27N124W dominates 
most of the N waters N of 10N and W of 112W. A light to gentle 
anticyclonic flow is seen under the influence of this system. A 
cold front has entered the NW waters overnight and extends from 
30N134W to 28N140W. Fresh to strong SW winds are ahead of the 
front covering the forecast waters N of 27N and W of 127W. Seas 
there are 9 to 11 ft in NW swell. Swell generated north of the 
front is propagating across much of the waters N of 24N W of 118W
with seas of 8 to 10 ft. Gentle to moderate NE to E trade winds 
prevail between 10N and 20N W of 115W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft n
NW swell.

For the forecast, the high pressure will drift SW and weaken 
slightly through Sun, ahead of a cold front that will move
eastward across the N waters. The front will reach from 30N133W 
to 26N140W by early Fri afternoon, and from 30N125W to 25N140W by
early Sat afternoon while weakening. The fresh to strong winds 
ahead of the front will diminish to 20 kt or less by Fri night. 
Seas 8 to 11 ft in NW swell that follow the front will subside to
less than 8 ft by late Sat. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds 
and moderate seas are expected.

$$
Stripling

No Storms to Report