ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 021544

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0944 AM CST Mon Mar 02 2026

   Valid 021700Z - 031200Z

   Minimal changes were made to the outlook based on the latest
   observations and high-resolution forecast guidance. Please see the
   previous discussion for more details.

   ..Nauslar/Stearns.. 03/02/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CST Mon Mar 02 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Low-amplitude ridging over the Southwest is forecast to break down
   and move eastward ahead of a mid-level trough moving from central CA
   into the western Great Basin. Westerly flow aloft is forecast to
   increase over parts of the Southwest and southern Rockies in
   response. While the stronger flow will remain to the west, dry
   downslope winds and warm temperatures are expected to support
   elevated fire-weather conditions this afternoon from eastern NM into
   parts of CO.

   ...Eastern NM and central/southern CO...
   Ahead of the advancing mid-level trough, downslope winds are
   expected across parts of the southern Rockies and immediate
   foothills. The backdoor cold front across the High Plains will
   modify quickly as lee troughing intensifies in response to the
   strengthening flow aloft. This will support downslope winds of 15-20
   mph through the afternoon. This, along with warm temperatures,
   should support afternoon RH values as low as 15%. Overlapped with
   abundant fine fuels and recent fire activity, several hours of
   elevated fire-weather conditions are possible.

   Similar dry and breezy conditions are expected farther west near the
   Four Corners, beneath the upper trough this afternoon. However,
   fuels here are much less receptive than farther east. While some
   localized fire-weather conditions are possible, limited fuels should
   negate more widespread fire-weather concerns.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)