ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 161618

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1118 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

   Valid 161700Z - 171200Z

   No changes to the ongoing forecast.

   ..Wendt.. 04/16/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   The upper low ejecting eastward over the plains will rapidly lift
   north as it deepens today. Strong mid-level flow associated with the
   low will gradually weaken from west to east as the subtropical jet
   shifts north with the low. At the surface, a Pacific front/dryline
   will mix eastward with gusty winds likely behind it over the
   southern Plains. A secondary cold front will also move south over
   the Plains ushering in a cooler air mass. Elevated fire weather
   conditions are possible over portions of the southern High Plains.

   ..Southern Plains...
   Winds aloft will slowly diminish through the day as the upper low
   moves away to the northeast. Still, persistent downslope westerly
   flow will favor dry and warm surface conditions over much of eastern
   NM and west TX. Surface wind gusts of 15-25 mph are expected through
   part of the day along with RH below 20%. While overlap of the
   strongest winds and lowest humidity is expected to be limited in
   duration and spatial extent, a few hours of elevated to locally
   critical fire-weather conditions still appear likely given
   widespread dry fuels.

   Localized fire-weather conditions may also briefly develop farther
   east into portions of central/eastern KS, OK and TX during the
   afternoon. Gusty winds near 20 mph and lower humidity will remain
   possible behind the Pacific front/dryline as it moves eastward.
   However, widespread cloud cover and only modestly dry surface
   conditions are expected. The limited duration and uncertainty on
   precipitation from the previous day suggest this threat will be
   brief and localized.

   ...Northern High Plains...
   Gusty downslope winds are likely over the northern Rockies and
   adjacent plains on the backside of the departing low as it moves
   into the Midwest. While not overly warm in the post-frontal
   environment, afternoon RH values below 25% are possible along with
   gusty winds of 15-20 mph. A few hours of elevated fire-weather
   conditions are possible. However, area fuels appear mostly
   unreceptive to fire spread suggesting fire-weather conditions will
   remain more localized.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)