ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
   ACUS48 KWNS 261010
   SPC AC 261010

   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0410 AM CST Thu Dec 26 2024

   Valid 291200Z - 031200Z

   ...DISCUSSION...
   At least some severe-weather risk is expected on Sunday/Day 4 across
   the Southeast States as an upper trough shifts east-northeastward
   from the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys toward the Appalachians. Very strong
   deep-layer winds will overspread the region, but guidance
   variability exists regarding the availability and
   north-northeastward extent of minimal buoyancy, especially with
   GFS/ECMWF-related guidance depicting the possibility of considerable
   scattered convection ongoing Sunday morning. Regional areas
   including northern Florida into southern/eastern Georgia and parts
   of the Carolinas will continue to be reevaluated in subsequent
   outlooks as far as Sunday's severe potential, but at least
   some/low-end severe risk seems probable even with these instability
   uncertainties.

   Thereafter, severe-weather potential early next week is currently
   expected to remain low.

   ..Guyer.. 12/26/2024

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