731 FXUS66 KSEW 120343 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 843 PM PDT Mon Aug 11 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Hot and dry conditions will continue Tuesday with widespread Moderate HeatRisk values. A Heat Advisory remains in effect across the lowlands. Cooler and cloudy conditions will return Wednesday through the remainder of the week as troughing moves over the region, with needed widespread rain moving into the region Friday into Saturday. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...The upper level ridge over 140 W will continue to drive very warm and dry conditions over the Pacific Northwest through Tuesday.The heat advisory remains in effect across the western Washington lowlands through Tuesday evening. Temperatures this afternoon reaching into the upper 80s and low 90s as of midafternoon especially along the north coast and interior from Tacoma southward. Overnight low temperatures will remain in the 60s for many areas tonight, providing little relief from the daytime heat - especially through the metro area. The thermal trough building along the Pacific Coast will shift inland Tuesday, allowing temperatures to cool slightly along the coast - but remain warm further inland, peaking in the low to mid 90s south and east of the Puget Sound. This will result in widespread Moderate (Orange) HeatRisk across the region, and pockets of Major (Red) HeatRisk between Seattle and Tacoma. As the upper level ridge starts to break down Tuesday evening and the surface trough shifts inland, westerly winds will increase and cooler higher humidity air will slowly filter inland. The upper level ridge will weaken Wednesday as an upper level trough passes to the north over British Columbia. Strengthening onshore flow will bring a more robust marine layer and much needed relief from the heat. Temperatures will cool considerably, peaking in the 60s and 70s on Wednesday. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...Cooler and cloudy conditions will continue through the period as a series of systems pass through the region, with increasing chances for rain heading into the weekend. Most notably will be a system moving onshore late Thursday/Friday into Saturday that ensembles are indicating will result in a 70-90% chance of widespread wetting rain (amounts 0.25 in or more) over a 24 to 36 hour period. In addition, temperatures will remain on the cool side for mid August through the weekend. The unusually cool air mass may even allow snow levels to drop as low as 8500 feet resulting in light snow over the peaks of Rainier and Baker Saturday. Unsettled weather will linger into Sunday, and some chance of a drier trend Monday. && .AVIATION...An upper level ridge will remain centered offshore into Tuesday with northwest flow aloft over Western Washington. Thermally induced low pressure near the coast will shift into the interior overnight with low level offshore flow transitioning to light onshore. LIFR coastal stratus will gradually shift northward from the Oregon coast overnight and is expected to reach the central Washington coast by early Tuesday A.M. before scattering out late morning. VFR continues elsewhere. KSEA...VFR. Surface winds northerly 10 to 15 knots this afternoon will ease to light northeasterly overnight. Winds will shift to W/NW 7 knots or less Tuesday morning. 27 && .MARINE... High pressure will remain over the coastal waters through Wednesday night then weaken Thursday. A thermally induced surface trough along the coast will move over the inland waters tonight and remain through Tuesday. The trough will shift east of the Cascades Tuesday night. A front will reach the coastal waters Friday. Increasing onshore flow will lead to small craft advisory winds/seas over the outer coastal waters today through late Tuesday as well as likely small craft advisory strength westerlies in the central and east strait Tuesday evening into late Tuesday night. 27 && .FIRE WEATHER...Very warm and dry conditions will continue across western Washington into Tuesday, with high pressure aloft and the thermally induced surface trough slowly shifts inland. With temperatures in the upper 80s and lower 90s for most areas - RH values will drop as low as 20% to 35% across much of the region with poor overnight recoveries. Atmospheric instability today will linger into Tuesday over the Olympics and Cascades, which may result in increased activity on ongoing fires in the area. This will maintain elevated fire weather concerns for western Washington through Tuesday, and conditions will continue to be closely monitored. The upper ridge is forecast to break down on Wednesday as more persistent troughing moves over the region, allowing for cooler and more moist conditions to return. Chances for rainfall increase towards the end of the week, with elevated probabilities of wetting rains by Friday. 15 && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...Heat Advisory until 10 PM PDT Tuesday for City of Seattle- Downtown Everett / Marysville Area-Eastern Kitsap County- Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca-Eastside-Foothills and Valleys of Central King County-Foothills and Valleys of Pierce and Southern King Counties-Foothills and Valleys of Snohomish and Northern King Counties-Foothills and Valleys of Thurston and Lewis Counties-Foothills and Valleys of the North Cascades-Foothills of the Western and Southern Olympic Peninsula-Lake Crescent Area Including US 101-Lower Chehalis River Valley-Lowlands of Lewis and Southern Thurston Counties-Lowlands of Pierce and Southern King Counties-Lowlands of Western Skagit and Northwestern Snohomish Counties-Lowlands of Western Whatcom County-Middle Chehalis River Valley-Northern Hood Canal-Olympia and Southern Puget Sound-Shoreline / Lynnwood / South Everett Area-Southern Hood Canal-Willapa and Black Hills. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM PDT Wednesday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm. && $$