178 FXUS64 KFWD 132330 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 630 PM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025 ...New Aviation, Short Term... .KEY MESSAGES... - Mostly sunny and dry conditions are expected through Thursday with highs mainly in the 70s and 80s. - Rain chances return to the region Friday through next weekend and a few storms could be strong or severe each day. && .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ Update: Very toasty and windy day across North and Central Texas with highs reaching the mid 80s east to upper 90s west. DFW even tied the daily record high of 93 last set in 1972 and 1936. No locations in our cwa reached the 100 degree mark, but several places in our western counties hit 98 degrees. Winds were quite gusty as well with peak gusts in the 35 to 45 mph range, with the highest report being 44 mph at DFW Airport. Winds have already begun subsiding this evening and will be letting the Wind Advisory expire as scheduled at 7pm. No changes were made to previous forecast as everything remains on track. Shamburger Previous Discussion: /Through Monday/ Warm and windy conditions will prevail today ahead of a cold front currently positioned near the Kansas/Oklahoma border. Near-record warmth is expected this afternoon with temperatures rising into the 90s for most locations along and west of the I-35 corridor. There is a 10-20% chance that a couple locations across the Big Country inch toward the century mark this afternoon marking their first 100F reading of the year. Expect south-southwesterly winds at 15-25 mph gusting to 35-40 mph at times through this evening. A Wind Advisory is in effect for much of North and Central Texas through 7PM. Dry and windy conditions will lead to pockets of elevated fire weather west of I-35 this afternoon, but recent rainfall and greening vegetation should preclude a more significant threat for wildfire growth and spread. But still do remain cautious, and avoid any activities that could lead to new fire attacks in finer, grassy fuels. Breezy southwest winds will persist into the overnight veering more westerly ahead of the aforementioned cold front expected to move toward the Red River early Monday morning, reaching the I-20 corridor by late morning, and then finally pushing into Central Texas by mid-afternoon Monday. Breezy north winds behind the front will keep high temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s north of the I-20 corridor Monday afternoon with temperatures peaking near 90 degrees across parts of Central Texas ahead of the front. With little appreciable moisture, expect this frontal passage to remain dry as it moves through our forecast area. Langfeld && .LONG TERM... /Issued 100 PM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025/ /Tuesday and Beyond/ Cooler, more seasonable temperatures will materialize region-wide Tuesday with widespread afternoon highs in the 70s. However, a building mid/upper ridge aloft and the return of south flow will quickly begin a warm-up Wednesday into the latter half of the work week. Expect highs in the 80s Wednesday afternoon nearing 90 degrees once again west of I-35 Thursday afternoon. We will need to monitor for an increasing fire weather threat later in the week as breezy south winds overlap with a relatively dry and abnormally-warm airmass and drying fine fuels west of I-35 Wednesday-Friday. Rain chances will return to the forecast over the weekend and into early next week as broad troughing settles over the western CONUS placing North and Central Texas beneath active southwest mid/upper-level flow. There are signals in the latest guidance that ingredients could come together for some severe weather potential in the Southern Plains over the weekend. More precise timing and location details will come with time, so make sure to keep up with the forecast through the week. Langfeld && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ VFR conditions will continue this TAF period with just some scattered cirrus clouds expected. There is a low chance for MVFR cigs to impact ACT around 12Z Monday morning, but confidence is far too low to include mention in TAF. Gusty south winds to 30 knots early this evening will decrease overnight, but a 45kt LLJ will continue through the night and create LLWS conditions at Metroplex airports. Winds will decrease somewhat on Monday morning, then veer to southwest and northwest from midday into the afternoon due to a fropa. Shamburger && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 65 84 56 77 56 / 0 0 5 0 0 Waco 61 90 59 77 56 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 61 81 53 73 50 / 0 0 5 0 0 Denton 61 80 49 75 51 / 0 0 5 0 0 McKinney 62 81 51 75 51 / 0 0 5 0 0 Dallas 64 87 58 77 56 / 0 0 5 0 0 Terrell 61 84 53 75 53 / 0 0 5 0 0 Corsicana 62 87 57 78 55 / 0 0 5 0 0 Temple 60 90 58 80 56 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 61 83 51 79 52 / 0 0 5 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091>095-100>107- 115>123-129>134-141>145-156>159. && $$