287
FXUS64 KCRP 281832
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
132 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 131 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

- Heat Advisory remains in effect for most of South Texas this
  evening.

- Moderate to major risk of heat will continue across South Texas,
  with localized extreme heat risk possible across portions of the
  Brush Country. Further heat advisories may be necessary.

- Localized elevated fire weather conditions remain possible
  across the northwestern Brush Country.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 131 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

Hot and mostly dry conditions will continue through the weekend
thanks to a mid-level high to our northwest. High temperatures will
range from the mid 90s along the coast to around 105 over the Brush
Country. Heat index values are expected to be slightly lower for
Wednesday, but there could still be some locations that reach
advisory criteria, mainly over the southern Coastal Plains. For now,
will not issue a Heat Advisory, but expect this could be done on the
next forecast update. As we move later into the week, the HeatRisk
will remain in the moderate to major categories, with isolated
locations reaching an extreme HeatRisk. As these higher temperatures
and moisture occur, we will likely have Heat Advisories for later
this week.

The interesting news is that there could be some slightly different
weather early next week as a mid-level trough stretches along the
eastern periphery of the ridge, nearing the Victoria Crossroads.
This could introduce enough lift and moisture for a low chance of
showers and thunderstorms (15-20%). Temperatures will, however,
continue to be hot.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

VFR conditions continue this afternoon, even with some cloud cover
over and along the coast. By late tonight/early morning, MVFR
ceilings will develop, mostly for ALI and VCT though COT may join
the party. Winds will diminish overnight which, when combined with
the increased moisture, could lead to some patchy fog development
for VCT and ALI. Have included a TEMPO group for the MVFR ceilings
and visibility from 09Z-13Z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 131 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

A generally gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore flow will persist,
with moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) conditions during the evening and
overnight hours. Small Craft Advisories may be needed in the late
afternoon and evening hours. Seas will remain around 2-4 feet. Dry
conditions are expected through the forecast period, with
probabilities for rain near zero.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    79  95  78  95 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          77  97  77  98 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            79 104  79 105 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             78  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          82  90  81  91 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           78 104  77 105 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        79  97  77  98 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       82  90  81  89 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ229>234-239>247-
     342>344-346-347.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for GMZ231-232-
     250.

&&

$$


DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...LS/77