867
FXUS64 KCRP 200612
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1212 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1209 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

 - Dense Fog Advisory through 9 AM Today

 - Warm/dry through Christmas Week

 - Daily chances for inland/sea fog


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1209 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

With weak southerly winds overnight and dewpoint temperatures
already in the 50s across. Fog will develop later than it has in the
past few events forming closer to 5am. For anyone traveling through
this area can expect visibility as low as 1/4 mile, and lower in
isolated locations. For this reason, a Dense Fog Advisory for the
southern Coastal Plains and southern Brush Country from 5am through
9am. By then, fog will start dissipating through the remainder of
the morning. The threat of fog will be present each night as we
remain in southerly flow thanks to increasing upper-level ridge
influence through the remainder of the forecast period. Water temps
along the inland bays/coastal shelf waters have dropped into the low
60s. With southerly winds prevailing through the forecast period and
picking up moisture along its travel through the Gulf, daily chances
for sea fog will start increasing. Some CAMs are hinting at this
too, but confidence for these early sea fog events typically are
low. We`ll keep monitoring for this threat.

A weak front will attempt to make it to the Gulf coast on Sunday,
though it is not looking to make it all the way. Rain chances will
be greatest along the TX/LA border and less so for the Middle Texas
Coast. Even so, the areas with the greatest chances locally will be
along the barrier islands/coastal zones with minimal accumulations
from Sunday night through Monday morning.

Temperatures will remain above average through Christmas week
generally around +10 degrees warmer than normal. White Christmas
this year... *shakes the eight ball* ... "outlook not so good".

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1209 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

Generally, VFR conditions are expected for this TAF cycle. The
only time period that will jepordize VFR conditions will be from
11-15z as fog and low ceilings could impact all sites. Light winds
are expected through the next 24 hours.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1209 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

Winds will be out of the south at gentle to moderate strength (BF 3-
4) and seas near 3 ft through tonight. Winds will then be more light
to gentle (BF 2-3) out of the southeast with 2-3 ft seas through the
upcoming weekend.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1209 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

Min RH values are expected to generally be above 35% this afternoon
and above 40% from Sunday through Christmas week. This, in addition
to Energy Release Component forecasts keeping much of the region in
the 25th-49th percentile, will limit the fire risk. Best chances for
rain will be Sunday night through Monday morning along the barrier
islands/coastal zones, but these chances are low (15-25%). The
remainder of the period will remain dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    81  64  81  66 /   0   0   0  10
Victoria          79  62  80  61 /   0   0   0  10
Laredo            82  56  82  61 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             84  61  83  64 /   0   0   0  10
Rockport          75  64  76  64 /   0   0   0  10
Cotulla           81  53  80  59 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        83  63  83  66 /   0   0   0  10
Navy Corpus       75  66  75  67 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Dense Fog Advisory from 5 AM to 9 AM CST this morning for
     TXZ240>243.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AE/82
LONG TERM...XX/99
DISCUSSION...XX/99
AVIATION...JCP/84