619 FXUS64 KMRX 021737 AFDMRX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 137 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 ...New AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 1040 AM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 No updates to the current forecast. Everything looks to be on track for today. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 240 AM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Key Messages: 1. Dry for the period with near normal temperatures. Discussion: The eastern US trough will be exiting and heights will rise over our area as upper ridging builds in from the west. Broad surface high pressure will be over the area, and what remains of the rather diffuse and weak frontal boundary will drift south of our area and wash out. There will be some limited instability across mainly southern areas today and an isolated shower cannot be ruled out near what remains of the old boundary, but the probability looks to be below the 15% threshold so no precipitation will be included for now. Overall, today will feature plenty of sunshine and tonight will be mostly clear. Temperatures will generally be near to slightly below seasonal normals. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 240 AM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Key Messages: 1. Dry with a warming trend through at least mid week. 2. Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase later in the week and continue into the weekend. Discussion: High pressure will remain in control through at least mid week, with dry weather and a warming trend. High temperatures by Wednesday should be around 3 to 5 degrees above normal. The upper ridge begins to flatten Thursday and isolated convection will be possible, although most locations should still be dry Thursday. Chances for showers and storms really begin to increase by Friday into the weekend as multiple shortwaves are forecast to be moving across the region. If the pattern holds, it could be a wet weekend. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 103 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 VFR conditions with light winds can be expected through the period at all sites. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Chattanooga Airport, TN 86 63 88 68 / 10 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 81 59 86 64 / 0 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 81 58 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 77 52 84 60 / 0 0 0 0 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM... AVIATION...