346 FXUS64 KOHX 021743 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1243 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1240 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 - Summer like weather this week with warm temperatures. - Becoming unsettled late week into the weekend with periods of showers and thunderstorms. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Tuesday) Issued at 1133 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 High pressure is sitting off to our east and a strong upper level ridge is building in from the west. This will bring a quiet start to the week with summer like temperatures. Highs today will push into the mid to upper 80s. We will be under the apex of the ridge on Tuesday and that will push highs into the upper 80s to possibly some lower 90s. If we get to the 90s tomorrow this will be the first time of the season, the last time Nashville saw a high 90 or greater was October 6, 2024. Things should be dry the next two days but we will see afternoon cumulus clouds develop, they may produce a sprinkle but seems unlikely. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday Night through next Monday) Issued at 1133 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 The strong ridge of high pressure will start to slide off to the east on Wednesday. Dry and hot weather will remain in place and we will see highs push into the upper 80s to lower 90s once again. The later part of the week into the weekend will become unsettled as a trough over Canada pushes a frontal boundary into the region. This will approach the west later in the day Thursday and will bring showers and thunderstorms. High chances for showers and thunderstorms will come on Friday as the boundary pushes over Middle TN. The boundary will be stalled out over the area for Saturday keeping scattered showers and thunderstorms in the forecast. More widespread activity can be expected again on Sunday as a short wave pushes in from the west. Overall it is looking low for widespread severe weather but we will see bulk shear increase over the weekend and could see a few stronger storms and is something to keep an eye on. Temperatures will remain warm throughout the week into the weekend but after Thursday 90s will be unlikely, highs will be in the mid to upper 80s. Lows will be mild in the mid 60s to lower 70s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1240 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 High pressure is in the area today which is providing VFR conditions and light/variable wind. I typically try to prescribe a wind direction for TAFs, but it is a truly variable wind situation right now. Otherwise, we have FEW to SCT cumulus developing around 060 for the afternoon. Winds should prevail southerly tomorrow at 5-10 kts with continued VFR. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 67 90 71 90 / 0 0 0 10 Clarksville 66 89 70 89 / 0 0 0 20 Crossville 58 83 64 82 / 0 0 0 10 Columbia 64 88 70 88 / 10 0 0 20 Cookeville 61 85 67 85 / 0 0 0 10 Jamestown 58 85 64 85 / 0 0 0 10 Lawrenceburg 63 87 69 87 / 10 0 0 20 Murfreesboro 63 89 69 90 / 0 0 0 10 Waverly 65 88 69 87 / 0 0 0 20 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Mueller LONG TERM....Mueller AVIATION.....Sizemore