297 FXUS62 KGSP 110204 AFDGSP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1004 PM EDT Tue Jun 10 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Mostly dry high pressure controls our weather through Wednesday night. Seasonably hot and humid weather returns late in the week with numerous showers and storms each afternoon and evening. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 1000 PM Tuesday: A weak cold front is finally starting to push east off the escarpment, still kicking off convection across the NC Foothills and Piedmont. Some cells are still managing to get tall enough for some gusty winds, but the overall trends are downward. The front should push off to the southeast overnight as the mid level trof axis moves overhead from the west. That, combined with the loss of daytime heating, should bring an end to the storm threat as it moves out of the fcst area. Some drier air will attempt to move in behind the boundary overnight with a high pressure air mass settling over the OH Valley/central Appalachians by daybreak Wednesday. Can`t rule out the mountain valley fog. For Wednesday, not much temperature change, but the humidity should be a bit lower, which will be nice. Closer proximity to lingering moisture to our east may permit a few showers on our eastern border in the afternoon, and an isolated shower over the Balsams would not be a surprise, but most places will stay sunny and rain-free. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 115 PM Tue: Mid level ridging will be in place across the region for the short term period. This will lead to a typical early summer pattern across the region with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. Highs and lows during this period will be slightly above normal. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 130 PM Tue: The mid level ridging will be gradually suppressed to the south over the weekend into early next week. This will allow a more active storm pattern with a few weak disturbances pushing through the area. Thus, pops will be higher and dewpoints will climb toward 70 outside the mountains during this period. Temperatures will remain slightly above normal for highs, but trend toward about 5 degrees above normal for overnight lows. && .AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... At KCLT and elsewhere: Convection firing up again along the eastern escarpment, mainly showers, but some TS still possible as it tracks into the NC foothills and Piedmont. Will keep a PROB30 at KCLT for another hour, since convection is nearby and could affect the terminal, but confidence is not high enuf to go with a tempo. Otherwise, converage now too low for anything but VCSH to start the 00z TAFs. Convection should wane by late evening. Some drier air working in from the N/NW should limit any fog development at the TAF sites, but KHKY looks to have the highest chances, with some rain earlier today at the terminal. Wind will become variable or calm tonight, then favor a N/NE direction early Wed morning. Quiet weather expected Wednesday, with few to scattered cu and light winds. Outlook: VFR should continue through Wednesday night. Mainly diurnal thunderstorms return Thursday and will persist each afternoon/evening into the weekend. There will be potential for late night and early morning fog and low stratus restrictions each day. && .GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...None. NC...None. SC...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...DEO NEAR TERM...ARK/PM SHORT TERM...SCW LONG TERM...SCW AVIATION...ARK