112 FXUS64 KAMA 140514 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1214 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 148 PM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025 -Elevated fire weather conditions continue for the western Panhandles this afternoon. -Low to moderate chance for thunderstorms during Easter weekend. && .SHORT TERM ... (This evening through Monday night) Issued at 148 PM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025 A trough is moving across the northern plains today which has caused a boundary/cold front to stall in the northern panhandles. The rest of the panhandles remain under the influence of the lee trough with westerly winds occurring this afternoon and evening. This mean that the southern panhandles will be hotter than the northern panhandles. The northern panhandles will see 80s to low 90s while the southern panhandles see low to mid 90s. Regardless of temperatures the entire panhandles remain dry which when combined with the gusty winds is currently causing elevated fire weather conditions. Later tonight into Monday morning the cold front will pick up momentum again pushing it across and then south of the panhandles. This will be followed by cooler air that settles across the panhandles for Monday. This will cause the temperatures to drop down to the 60s and 70s across the panhandles. The skies for both today and Monday will be covered by clouds hiding the sun more often than not. SH && .LONG TERM ... (Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 148 PM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025 For Tuesday through early Friday there is a high chance the a ridge of high pressure builds across the southern plains. This will keep drier air across the panhandles leading to fair and calm weather. Under this ridge the panhandles will slowly get warmer through Thursday. This will allow for a moderate chance of seeing 90s again across the panhandles Thursday afternoon. For Friday and next weekend a weather system the developed earlier across the west has better odds than not to begin impacting the southern plains. This system has a moderate chance of drawing up moisture into the panhandles late on Friday through the weekend. This system is already showing favorable indications that it will support the formation of both rain showers and thunderstorms through the weekend. There remains questions about the trajectory and intensity of this next weekend system which will dictate exactly where and how strong any thunderstorms will be. SH && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1212 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 VFR conditions are currently anticipated through the next 24 hours. A cold front is moving through the southern Texas Panhandle as of 0513z, and breezy to gusty northerly to north-northeasterly winds are being observed behind the front. Winds will begin to weaken later tonight and continue to weaken through the day as winds trend toward easterly. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 67 43 70 48 / 0 0 0 0 Beaver OK 67 36 73 48 / 0 0 0 10 Boise City OK 61 37 71 48 / 0 0 0 10 Borger TX 69 43 74 50 / 0 0 0 10 Boys Ranch TX 67 42 74 48 / 0 0 10 0 Canyon TX 68 41 71 46 / 0 0 0 0 Clarendon TX 69 45 69 48 / 0 0 0 0 Dalhart TX 64 37 71 45 / 0 0 0 10 Guymon OK 65 36 73 47 / 0 0 0 10 Hereford TX 69 41 71 46 / 0 0 10 0 Lipscomb TX 67 41 71 49 / 0 0 0 10 Pampa TX 67 43 70 49 / 0 0 0 10 Shamrock TX 70 44 70 47 / 0 0 0 10 Wellington TX 72 45 71 48 / 0 0 0 0 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...98 LONG TERM....98 AVIATION...52