234 FXUS64 KOUN 050528 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1228 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 ...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1225 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 - Low rain/thunderstorm chances continue into next week. - Hot and humid conditions return next week. && .NEAR TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 1225 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 This high moisture (PWATs of 1.8 to 2 inches through the I-40 corridor) driven pattern with little in the way of focusing mechanisms continues Saturday. This will result in abundant cloud cover and isolated showers and storms across south central Oklahoma during the afternoon. Temperatures will primarily be in the 80s across the region, though some 90s may nudge into northwest Oklahoma where cloud cover will be less. A few CAMs suggest storms making another run at northwest Oklahoma late tonight, though chances appear low. Day && .SHORT TERM... (Sunday through Monday night) Issued at 1225 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 Sunday and Monday look fairly similar as the pattern only gradually shifts. Low chances for diurnally driven showers and storms (focused mainly along the moisture axis in the southeast); Nocturnal convection approaching northern Oklahoma from the Rockies during the overnight periods (aided by developing northwest flow), and below normal temperatures gradually approaching normal. Day && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 1225 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 The long term will be dominated by northwest flow, putting a bit more emphasis on the potential for decaying storm complexes to affect northern Oklahoma during the overnight / early morning periods. Diurnally driven chances trend downward as PWATs continue to decrease. Heat will gradually increase to near normal under the influence of the nearby upper high (over southwestern U.S.), with heat indices reaching to the century mark, including some areas near 105 degrees across southeastern Oklahoma. Day && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1022 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 Most of the evening precip has ended, however line of storms in southwest Kansas will make a run at northwest Oklahoma overnight and will include a Prob30 for a few hours at WWR. Otherwise, anticipate MVFR ceilings to develop overnight along with some fog that looks to impact CSM. These ceilings linger through the morning before rising to VFR by afternoon. Light southeast winds will pick up some Saturday morning, but mainly at 12kts or less. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 85 70 88 70 / 20 10 20 10 Hobart OK 87 69 90 70 / 20 10 20 10 Wichita Falls TX 86 71 88 72 / 20 10 20 10 Gage OK 89 68 91 67 / 10 20 20 20 Ponca City OK 87 70 90 70 / 20 20 30 20 Durant OK 90 72 92 72 / 20 10 20 10 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...14 SHORT TERM...14 LONG TERM....14 AVIATION...30