850 FXUS61 KILN 081939 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 339 PM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Slow moving low pressure will shift off to the east with lingering precipitation coming to an end early this evening. A stronger front will push through the region on Monday, providing a renewed chance for showers and storms. Seasonably warm and humid conditions will prevail until some drier air returns in the wake of the front by Tuesday. Drier conditions should persist through Thursday before a seasonably warm and humid airmass returns late in the week, bringing additional chances for showers and storms. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/... Mid level shortwave over the area to push off to the east this evening. Associated weak surface low moving into eastern Ohio will continue moving away from the area. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms with the best coverage across the central Ohio will come to an end by late afternoon/early evening as the low pulls away from the area. Drier conditions continue thru this evening and into the overnight hours. Clouds scatter out late in the day, with mostly clear skies through about midnight. Focus shifts to stacked deep low pressure which will track into the Upper MS Valley overnight and then into the Great Lakes Monday. Ahead of this feature a low level southerly jet develops into the Ohio Valley and increases to 35 to 40 kts late tonight. This will allow moisture/clouds and forcing to increase late tonight. Expect a narrow band of showers with embedded thunderstorms to move into the western counties around sunrise. Lows tonight dip into the lower to mid 60s. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Stacked deep low pressure which will track into the Great Lakes Monday. A low level southerly jet which increases to 35 to 40 kts will allow moisture/clouds and forcing to increase. A narrow band of showers with embedded thunderstorms to move into the western counties around sunrise and move east thru the area thru the aftn. The best chance for some diurnally-driven destabilization on Monday looks to be east of the I-71 corridor. This instability combined with strengthening mid level flow may lead to stronger updrafts. Strong to severe storms will be possible with damaging winds being the main threat Monday afternoon across ILN/s eastern/southeastern counties. The main axis of precipitation will shift east with chances decreasing from west to east by late afternoon. A few additional showers will be possible across west central Ohio late in the day into the evening as anther shortwave rotates around the mid level low and a secondary front moves into the area. High pressure begins to nose into the area Monday night with clouds decreasing overnight. Highs on Monday will influenced by clouds and pcpn moving through the area, with temperatures generally topping out in the mid to upper 70s. Lows drop off into the mid to upper 50s Monday night under clearing skies and light winds. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... High pressure builds into the Ohio Valley from west on Tuesday into Tuesday night. Westerly flow will allow temperatures to remain below average with forecast highs in the 70s. . The center of the surface high shifts east of the region on Wednesday. Southerly winds develop west of the high leading to increasing temperatures and humidity for the second half of the week. Highs reach 80 on Wednesday and the middle 80s Thursday and Friday. Rain chances increase on Friday through the weekend due to increasing instability over the area and a weak boundary working in from the north. && .AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Weak surface low moving into eastern Ohio will continue moving away from the area. Scattered showers and isolated with the best coverage across the central Ohio TAF sites will come to an end by late afternoon as the low pulls away from the area. Temporary MVFR conditions will be observed in precipitation. Drier conditions return toward 00z and continue thru this evening and into the overnight hours. Clouds scatter out late in the day, with mostly clear skies through 06Z. Deep and stacked low pressure will track into the Upper MS Valley overnight and into the Great Lakes Monday. Ahead of this feature a low level southerly jet develops into the Ohio Valley and increases to 35 to 40 kts. This will allow moisture/clouds and forcing to increase late tonight. Expect a narrow band of showers with embedded thunderstorms to move into the western TAF sites around sunrise and to the eastern TAF sites by late morning. The better threat for thunderstorms will occur in the afternoon across the eastern TAF/s. At this time have limited all mention of pcpn to showers. Clouds will increase and lower with MVFR conditions developing area wide Monday morning. Do not expect improvement to VFR until later in the afternoon. West to northwest winds at 10-13 kts will gust up to 20 kts this afternoon and then back to the southwest at less than 10 kts tonight. Southwest winds increase to 10-13 kts with gusts up to 20 kts on Monday. OUTLOOK...Some storms will be possible Monday aftn, mainly for KILN/KCMH/KLCK. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for OHZ046-055-056-065. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...AR NEAR TERM...AR SHORT TERM...AR LONG TERM...Campbell AVIATION...AR