694
FXUS61 KILN 311736
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
136 PM EDT Sun May 31 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) An extended period of dry weather will continue through at least
Thursday. Temperatures will start the week generally near or
slightly below climatological normals.

2) Temperatures begin to warm by the end of the week and chances for
showers and thunderstorms will develop as we head into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1)
A mid level trough axis pivoting down across the northeast US will
keep our region in northwest flow aloft tonight into Monday night.
An increase in mid level moisture and some weak embedded mid level
energy may be enough to squeeze out a few light rain showers or
sprinkles later tonight and on through Monday. It appears the best
chance for this will be across our southwest, where the mid level
moisture will be the highest. Otherwise, surface high pressure will
drift slowly southeast across the region through mid week. This will
result in mainly dry conditions through the end of the work week
with temperatures gradually moderating. Highs in the mid 70s early
this week will trend to highs in the lower 80s by Friday.

KEY MESSAGE 2)
Surface high pressure will move off to the southeast late in the
week/over the weekend as mid level short wave energy moves across
the Great Lakes region. This will lead to developing southwest low
level flow across the mid Ohio Valley along with an increase in
moisture, eventually resulting in a chance for showers and a few
thunderstorms by the weekend. Temperatures will remain a few degrees
above normal over the weekend, with daytime high in the low to mid
80s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Mid and high level clouds will continue to drop down across the region
tonight into Monday. It will be tough to rule out a few sprinkles or
light rain showers, but these should be operationally insignificant.
VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JGL
AVIATION...JGL