133
FXUS62 KRAH 271756
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
155 PM EDT Sun Apr 27 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Canadian high pressure will build into the region through Monday.
High pressure will shift offshore Tuesday and bring unseasonably
warm conditions again by Wednesday, lasting through late week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 130 PM Sunday...

High pressure centered over Ohio will slowly continue to slide south
and east this afternoon and evening. A few mid and high clouds this
afternoon will clear up overnight as high pressure begins to
dominate the region. Northerly winds will become very light
overnight and expected to shift to an easterly wind by Monday
morning. Highs this afternoon will be upper 60s to low 70s.
Tonight`s low temps will be the coldest of the week with
temperatures ranging from the mid to upper 40s with a few spots near
50 degrees.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 130 PM Sunday...

Aloft, central NC will be under NW flow as the highly amplified sub-
tropical ridge shifts ewd into the Appalachians. At the surface,
high pressure will migrate ewd across the lower mid-Atlantic Mon and
sit just off/along the mid-Atlantic/NC coast Mon night. Expect dry
weather, clear skies, and seasonable temperatures. Highs in the mid
to upper 70s and lows in the upper 40s to low 50s.


&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 155 PM Sunday...

* A period of unsettled weather may return Wednesday through Friday,
  with the best chances of showers and embedded storms on Friday
  with a cold fropa.

* Above average temperatures will prevail throughout the long term.

Tuesday should be dry as high pressure will be located to our east.
Warm and moist southerly flow will increase high temperatures back
into the low to mid 80s, with lows dropping to around 60 overnight.

Wednesday and Thursday, there will be a low-confidence chance of
rain showers as a cold front will stall to our north. Depending on
how far south the cold front gets before stalling, diurnal isolated
showers are possible in northern regions of the CWA. However, models
seem to be showing the front stalling further north than previously,
lessening our rain chances. Otherwise, we will stay in the WAA
regime, with maximum temperatures expected in the mid to upper 80s
both afternoons, with the potential of reaching 90 in the warmest
locations.

Friday should have similar high temperatures. However, rain chances
increase Friday afternoon and evening as a cold front approaches
from our west. Showers with embedded strong to severe storms are
possible with the fropa, as CAPE and shear values currently look
conducive to thunderstorm development. Showers should generally
clear out of the region by Saturday morning and the rest of the
weekend should be dry as high pressure builds in behind the front.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 130 PM Sunday...

VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hour TAF period. Northerly
winds of 5-10kts today with a few gusts up to 20kts this afternoon
and early evening is expected to them become more calm overnight as
high pressure centers over the region. A few mid to high clouds will
continue to stream across the region this afternoon and evening
before clearing overnight with mostly clear skies expected Monday.

Outlook: VFR conditions expected through at least Wednesday. Precip
chances return late Wednesday and continue through Friday with
chances for sub-VFR conditions.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Badgett
NEAR TERM...CA
SHORT TERM...KC
LONG TERM...Helock
AVIATION...CA