641
FXUS65 KLKN 160915
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
115 AM PST Tue Dec 16 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 109 AM PST Tue Dec 16 2025

* Unseasonably warm each afternoon through the weekend

* Periods of precipitation, focused across Northern Nevada,
  beginning Tuesday

* Strong west-southwest wind gusts in Northern & Central Nevada
  Wednesday

&&


.UPDATE...
Issued at 109 AM PST Tue Dec 16 2025

A Wind Advisory has been issued for Humboldt, Elko, Lander,
Eureka, and White Pine Counties from midnight Tuesday night until
8PM PST Wednesday evening due to sustained west-southwest winds of
30-40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Tuesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A west to east flow will continue
Tuesday as a ridge is situated well off the western coast of the
United States. A 250mb upper jet will be north of the forecast
area and will provide limited dynamics to the northern half of the
forecast area. This will allow for the development of light rain
showers over locations north of I-80. Precipitation amounts will
be limited over the valley locations to roughly a trace to less
than a tenth of an inch. Snow levels will be at or above 8500
feet. Highs will be in the 50s and 60s. Look for light, showery
precipitation to continue during the overnight with lows in the
30s and 40s.

By Wednesday, models continue to depict strong winds developing
during the morning and afternoon. Southwest to west winds of 30 to
40 with gusts of 50 to 55 mph are expected. The strongest winds
are expected across northern Nevada and a wind advisory may be
required as the probability for reaching advisory wind gusts are
about forty to seventy percent or higher in the above locations.
Snow levels are forecast will again be around 7000 feet or so,
though cooler air is expected to filter in by the later afternoon
period as winds shift to a west-northwest direction. Highs will
again reach the 50s to low 60s. Overnight lows will be in the 30s.
Snow levels in the far north are expected to drop to at or above
5000 feet during the overnight. Light snowfall amounts up to a
half inch are expected in the north, along SR225 from roughly
Wildhorse to the border with Idaho.

Thursday through Sunday, periods of showery precipitation are
expected through this timeframe as model solutions keep an upper
ridge well off the southwest coast. No strong cold pushes are
expected through this period with a mostly west to east flow
continuing. Highs will be in the 50s to low 60s. Overnight lows
will be in the 30s and 40s. Winds will be breezy along the
northern sections of the forecast area, north of I-80 with gusts
to 30 to 40 mph, each afternoon from Thursday through the weekend.
Overnight lows will be in the 30s and 40s.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence remains high on short
term rain fall and high temperatures being above normal.
Confidence is also high with respect to strong to very strong
winds developing across the northern half of Nevada Wednesday
afternoon. Confidence in rainfall and snowfall amounts remain low
to moderate at this time.

&&


.AVIATION...

VFR conditions expected at all sites through the next
24 hours with light winds.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 PM PST Wednesday
NVZ030-031-033>039.

&&

$$

UPDATE...99
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...94