052
FXUS65 KLKN 281044
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
Issued by National Weather Service Reno NV
152 AM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Isolated to scattered thunderstorm activity this afternoon and
  early evening across mainly Eastern Elko County

* Smoke from areas fires causing visibility and respiratory
  issues over northern NV today

* Above average temperatures and a warming trend this week

* Increasing HeatRisk by Friday and the weekend

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Sunday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Smoke from regional wildfires will
continue to impact visibility across portions of northern and
east-central Nevada today, and may create respiratory issues for
some.

Storm activity on Tuesday will be confined to mainly the UT border
and extreme northeastern corner of Elko County. Monsoon moisture
is slowly being shunted eastward as the HPC over the Panhandles
continues to deepen and expand through the week. There exists a
low chance of storm activity over the UT border again Wednesday
afternoon but beyond mid week the availability of moisture really
becomes cutoff as the HPC expands westward. A prolonged heat event
is anticipated with probabilities of temperatures greater than
100F climbing above 75% for local climate sites Friday through
Sunday. Long-term guidance keeps the HPC and hot, dry conditions
over the region well into next week.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High pressure builds in smoke
both today and through the week causing visibility and respiratory
issues as area wildfire activity continues. High confidence
exists in the warming trend expected later this week that will
bring major HeatRisk to the region by Friday and the weekend.

&&


.AVIATION...

MVFR/IFR conditions may occur at KWMC, KEKO, KENV, and KELY
Terminals today due to smoke from ongoing area wildfires.
Otherwise, VFR conditions are forecast when smoke is not lowering
VIS values. Afternoon west-southwest winds will gust at all
terminals this afternoon from 15-25KTs. There is a 30 percent
chance of -TSRA at KENV this afternoon and early evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms develop across
portions of eastern Nevada this afternoon, with a 10% chance in
zones 425 and 469, and a 25% chance in zone 470. Storms will
diminish into the mid to late evening hours. South to West winds of
10 to 15 mph with gusts of 15 to 25 mph are expected this afternoon.
Relative humidity recoveries tonight into Wednesday morning will be
in the 35-50% range across most of FW Zones 438, 469 and 470, where
wildfires continue to burn.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...96
AVIATION...96
FIRE WEATHER...96