936
FXUS65 KLKN 191922
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1122 AM PST Fri Dec 19 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1042 AM PST Fri Dec 19 2025

* Near record temperatures expected through Tuesday

* Periods of valley rain and elevated snow, focused across
  Northern Nevada, lasting through at least Christmas

* Wind advisories are in effect till this evening

* Cooler temperatures return Wednesday

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Friday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Wind Advisory over northern Nevada will
end this evening as high winds begin to dissipate. Over the
weekend, winds will still be elevated throughout the region but
is expected to remain below advisory criteria. By mid-week, winds
begin to pick up again with stronger winds around central Nevada.
As of right now, probabilities remain above 60-80% for wind gusts
reaching 35+ mph with a 40% chance reaching as high as 40+ mph in
Northwestern Nye County.

A persistent high pressure system to the south will keep bringing
in southerly warm temperatures into Nevada through Tuesday, with
near record temperatures expected each day. A low pressure system
over the northwestern coastline will move south towards
California, making the weather pattern bring a long-duration
atmospheric river event across northern California and into Nevada.
Periods of valley rain and elevated snow across northern Nevada
today lasting through Christmas. By Wednesday, central Nevada will
begin to see periods of valley rain and elevated snow as the
atmospheric river shift towards over southern California and
Arizona, bringing in moisture from the south/southwest.

The low pressure over the northwestern coast will head over
southwest U.S. by mid-week, bringing in much needed cooler
temperatures, however is expected to still be warm for this time
of year, keeping snow at higher elevations. Due to the warmer
temperatures, significant impacts to Christmas travel are not
expected.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Winds were increased from NBM
grids to reflect the high wind advisory conditions today. High
confidence of near record warm temperatures lasting through
Tuesday. High confidence for periods of rain and mountain snow
over northern Nevada. Moderate confidence of rain and mountain
snow over central Nevada Wednesday. Moderate confidence of strong
winds in central Nevada Wednesday.

&&


.AVIATION...

VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hour period. High
elevated westerly winds of 15-20 kts, gusts 20-30 kts over all
northern terminals this afternoon through evening. Periods of VCSH
and -SHRA at all northern terminals this evening. CIG levels
expected to get lower over all terminals ranging from FL010 to
FL060. MVFR conditions or lower possible due to lower CIG levels
and showers.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Wind Advisory until 7 PM PST this evening NVZ030-031-033-034-039.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...97