743
FXUS65 KLKN 131051
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
251 AM PST Mon Jan 13 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Northerly flow will keep temperatures below normal
for the next several days. Light, isolated snow showers will
continue this morning but will give way to partly cloudy skies.
Winds will remain light. A slow warmup is expected by mid-week.
Upper level troughing could bring isolated to scattered light snow
showers to northeastern Nevada as early as Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday night. Skies are mostly cloudy
across much of the forecast area with a few light snow showers
hanging around. The KELY ASOS is showing 0.01" and Nevada
Department of Transportation webcams are showing a light dusting
of snow on roads across east-central Nevada this morning. For
today, light snow showers and flurries are expected to continue
through this morning but no accumulations are expected. Northerly
flow will continue to keep afternoon highs below normal for this
time of year. Highs will remain in the 30s with 40 degrees being a
struggle to reach. Here are some probabilities of high temperatures
reaching 35 degrees or higher for select locations across northern
and central Nevada this afternoon:

Austin - 0%
Battle Mountain - 90%
Carlin - 20%
Elko - 20%
Ely - 4%
Eureka - 0%
Jackpot - 0%
Jarbidge - 0%
Owyhee - 0%
Ruth - 0%
Spring Creek - 0%
Tonopah - 25%
Wells - 0%
West Wendover  55%
Wildhorse Res - 0%
Winnemucca - 96%

By tonight, upper level ridging will remain west of the West
Coast with skies clearing. It will be cold with readings in the
single digits and teens over the region. Here are some
probabilities of overnight low temperatures 10 degrees or less for
select locations across northern and central Nevada tonight:

Austin - 2%
Battle Mountain - 20%
Carlin - 25%
Elko - 60%
Ely - 90%
Eureka - 30%
Jackpot - 50%
Jarbidge - 1%
Owyhee - 5%
Ruth - 50%
Spring Creek - 50%
Tonopah - 4%
Wells - 60%
West Wendover  1%
Wildhorse Res - 95%
Winnemucca - 10%

Dry conditions will persist Tuesday and Tuesday night as the ridge
remains off the west coast. Northerly flow will once again keep a
lid on afternoon highs though a slight warming of a few degrees is
likely. Readings will remain in the 30s to low 40s. Here are
some probabilities of high temperatures reaching 40 degrees or
greater for select locations across northern and central Nevada
during Tuesday afternoon:

Austin - 20%
Battle Mountain - 60%
Carlin - 20%
Elko - 20%
Ely - 20%
Eureka - 0%
Jackpot - 0%
Jarbidge - 0%
Owyhee - 15%
Ruth - 0%
Spring Creek - 0%
Tonopah - 55%
Wells - 0%
West Wendover  0%
Wildhorse Res - 0%
Winnemucca - 4%

Look for quiet and cold conditions Tuesday night with lows in the
single digits and teens under mostly clear skies and light winds.

.LONG TERM...Wednesday through next Monday

Blocking pattern remains in place Wednesday as a cut off low
resides offshore of SoCal while high pressure resides offshore of
the PacNW. Light winds and dry weather will continue under mostly
sunny and clear skies. Temperatures Wednesday will be a few
degrees warmer than the previous day with daytime highs in the mid
30s to mid 40s and overnight lows in the low teens to low 20s.
Continued fair weather and slightly warmer temperatures will be
present Thursday.

Cut off low weakens into an open wave and ejects east Thursday
night and Friday morning as high pressure remains in place
offshore under an amplifying ridge. Concurrently, a long wave trof
deepens over Canada and the continental U.S. This places Nevada
under stronger north-northwesterly flow Friday and into early next
week. Latest numerical solutions have come into better agreement
that a shortwave embedded within the mean flow, along with its
attendant surface cold front, will move thru the intermountain
west from the north-northwest Friday. Better agreement is noted in
the track of the front with solutions now bringing the bulk of
the precipitation into Utah. There is still a low probability of
precipitation across the eastern half of the forecast area with
the western half remaining dry. That said, latest progs maintain a
relatively dry atmospheric moisture profile and PWATs near 0.25
or less are still indicated. Light snow will be in the area with
more consistent activity over the high terrain, particularly the
Jarbidge Wilderness, Independence Range, and Ruby Mtns/E Humboldt
Range. Little to no valley accumulations are expected and mountain
accumulations will be limited to a couple of inches. Increased
north-northwesterly winds can also be expected Friday and Saturday
along with a colder and drier post frontal air mass moving into
the region.

Weather looks dry and cool Sunday and into Monday under continued
north-northwesterly flow. Temperatures indicated to be a few
degrees cooler than average with light to breezy surface winds.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through
Monday evening as skies clear behind this weekend`s weather
system. Winds will be light for the northern terminals and KELY on
Monday. Gusts around 20-25KT at times for KTPH Monday afternoon
before diminishing early Monday evening.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

86/92/99