440 FXUS65 KLKN 042022 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 122 PM PDT Fri Apr 4 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Quiet pattern with a good Spring time warm-up looks to get under way for the weekend. A fast moving clipping system will bring a quick shot at some light rain showers, and a few rumbles of thunder across the far north Monday into Tuesday before another upper ridge brings the potential for record warmth for central and northern Nevada by late week. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Saturday night Upper level trough centered over the four corners region will start shifting east tonight which will allow the unsettled weather that we have experienced for the last several days to shift east as well. However not before giving the possibility of a few last gasp chances at a rain/snow shower or two along the Utah/Nevada border tonight within the northerly flow aloft. POPs are low generally under the 15% minimum for mentioning but it would not be a surprise to see a clipping shower. After this evening how ever upper level ridge will begin to push across the Silver State bringing warmer temperatures and a shift in the winds for Saturday, but as winds shift to the W-NW, speeds are expected to be on the light side at 5 MPH to 10 MPH across northern NV. Central Nevada will see more of a west to SW wind direction an slightly stronger speeds at 5 MPH to 15 MPH with a few gusts to 20 MPH possible. The biggest change will be to temperatures as another Spring warm-up gets under way. Temperatures Saturday morning will start on the cool side in the low to upper 20s, but with the upper ridge building in temperatures will rise into the middle 50s to middle 60s for Saturday afternoon under partly cloudy skies. By Saturday night clouds will dissipate further with skies becoming mostly clear as temperatures fall into the mid 20s to mid 30s for lows. .LONG TERM...Sunday through next Friday Slightly above normal temperatures and dry conditions to end the weekend as upper level ridging continues. On Monday, an upper trough and low pressure center off the Canadian coast begin their transit across North America. The bulk of impacts for this system will be north of the forecast area, but some impacts will be felt locally on Monday. Specifically, high temperatures will be a few degrees cooler than Sunday and some scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms are possible, mainly north of I-80. Things calm down again by Tuesday as upper level ridging returns and strengthens. This will lead to dry conditions and warming temperatures, resulting in near record high temperatures across much of the area on Thursday, when temperatures reach the upper 70s and even a few 80s. Confidence in Fridays forecast is currently low, but long term guidance indicates another strong upper level trough off the north-Pacific coast. Timing with this system isnt sure right now, but it could begin to affect the forecast area as early as Friday, leading to cooling temperatures and bringing new precipitation chances. Another option, however, is this system slowing and impacting the area further into the weekend or beyond. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions expected at all sites through the next 24 hours. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 98/94/94