440
FXUS65 KLKN 042022
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
122 PM PDT Fri Apr 4 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Quiet pattern with a good Spring time warm-up looks to
get under way for the weekend. A fast moving clipping system will
bring a quick shot at some light rain showers, and a few rumbles
of thunder across the far north Monday into Tuesday before another
upper ridge brings the potential for record warmth for central and
northern Nevada by late week.


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.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Saturday night

Upper level trough centered over the four corners region will
start shifting east tonight which will allow the unsettled weather
that we have experienced for the last several days to shift east
as well. However not before giving the possibility of a few last
gasp chances at a rain/snow shower or two along the Utah/Nevada
border tonight within the northerly flow aloft. POPs are low
generally under the 15% minimum for mentioning but it would not be
a surprise to see a clipping shower. After this evening how ever
upper level ridge will begin to push across the Silver State
bringing warmer temperatures and a shift in the winds for
Saturday, but as winds shift to the W-NW, speeds are expected to
be on the light side at 5 MPH to 10 MPH across northern NV.
Central Nevada will see more of a west to SW wind direction an
slightly stronger speeds at 5 MPH to 15 MPH with a few gusts to 20
MPH possible. The biggest change will be to temperatures as
another Spring warm-up gets under way. Temperatures Saturday
morning will start on the cool side in the low to upper 20s, but
with the upper ridge building in temperatures will rise into the
middle 50s to middle 60s for Saturday afternoon under partly
cloudy skies. By Saturday night clouds will dissipate further with
skies becoming mostly clear as temperatures fall into the mid 20s
to mid 30s for lows.

.LONG TERM...Sunday through next Friday

Slightly above normal temperatures and dry conditions to end the
weekend as upper level ridging continues. On Monday, an upper
trough and low pressure center off the Canadian coast begin their
transit across North America. The bulk of impacts for this system
will be north of the forecast area, but some impacts will be felt
locally on Monday. Specifically, high temperatures will be a few
degrees cooler than Sunday and some scattered showers and
afternoon thunderstorms are possible, mainly north of I-80. Things
calm down again by Tuesday as upper level ridging returns and
strengthens. This will lead to dry conditions and warming
temperatures, resulting in near record high temperatures across
much of the area on Thursday, when temperatures reach the upper
70s and even a few 80s. Confidence in Fridays forecast is
currently low, but long term guidance indicates another strong
upper level trough off the north-Pacific coast. Timing with this
system isnt sure right now, but it could begin to affect the
forecast area as early as Friday, leading to cooling temperatures
and bringing new precipitation chances. Another option, however,
is this system slowing and impacting the area further into the
weekend or beyond.


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.AVIATION...VFR conditions expected at all sites through the next
24 hours.


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.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

98/94/94