754
FXUS63 KOAX 201116
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
516 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A weak cold front moves through the area today. Temperatures
  will remain in the 40s.

- Temperatures will warm up into the 50s next week, with 60s
  possible by Christmas day.

- Dry conditions are expected through the forecast period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 231 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

A surface low pressure is moving east across southern Saskatchewan
and Manitoba this morning. The cold front associated with this
system is beginning to swing through our area, ushering in northwest
winds and a slightly cooler airmass. This front remains weak with
temperatures holding in the 40s for the majority of locations. No
precipitation is expected at this time, primarily due to a very dry
sub-cloud layer. By Sunday, surface high pressure settles into the
region, keeping temperatures in the 40s.

Heading into the holiday week, temperatures are expected to climb. A
very anomalous ridge of high pressure develops across much of the
Front Range and Great Plains during the week. This slow moving
feature dominates the forecast, keeping temperatures well-above
normal with dry weather and mostly sunny skies. Afternoon
temperatures in the 50s arrive on Monday and remain through the end
of the week. By Christmas, there is a medium (30-50%) chance that
60s are reached for many. This is potentially record setting heat as
these temperatures are 20 to 25 degrees above normal. Even overnight
temperatures should largely remain above freezing. A White Christmas
is not on the cards, more like a Brown Christmas.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 514 AM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. A cold front
is moving through the region currently. Gusty northwest winds
can be expected through the morning and early afternoon. Wind
speeds decrease through the late afternoon and evening as
surface high pressure builds in. Light westerly winds are
expected later tonight.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Chehak
AVIATION...Chehak