350 FXUS63 KOAX 091657 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 1157 AM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Wildfire smoke will continue to make for hazy sky conditions today, though clearing toward the afternoon. - A warmer pattern brings temperatures into the mid-to-upper 80s Tuesday, with a hot Wednesday topping out in low-to-mid 90s. - Nearly daily thunderstorms will affect at least some part of the forecast area Wednesday onward. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 345 AM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025 An upper-level low continues to spin to our north this morning, bringing a boundary with scattered showers this time to central and northeast Iowa. Over eastern Nebraska and western Iowa northern portions of our area have cloud cover associated with this boundary but the rest of our area remains mostly clear. HRRR/RAP indicate we still have smoke over southeast Nebraska this morning (difficult to see on nighttime satellite imagery to be certain). A band of clearer air will push this smoke out later this morning with a second band of smoke moving into northeast Nebraska/west-central Iowa this afternoon. Other than smoke, the other concern for today will be winds as the pressure gradient across our area tightens with a shortwave rounding the base of the upper-level low to our north. With this we`ll see winds gusting to at least 30 mph this afternoon. Breezy northwesterly winds will help keep temperatures mild this afternoon with highs in the mid 70s. Over the next couple days we`re going to see the large ridge currently bringing record heat to the West Coast push inland leading to warming temperatures and dry conditions through at least Tuesday. The peak of the heat arrives on Wednesday as the ridge actually breaks down over the Central Plains. Wednesday, expect highs to get up into the upper 80s to mid 90s across our area, likely the warmest day of the year so far. On Wednesday we see a low-level jet start to advect moisture back into the region from the Gulf, bringing back chances for showers and thunderstorms that will continue into the weekend. Machine Learning and Analog Guidance from CIPS show potential for severe weather Thursday through at least Saturday, but details are still to be worked out. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1157 AM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period with SCT-BKN clouds at FL040-050 this afternoon at KOFK and KOMA. Northwest winds at 14-15 kt with gusts to 22-23 kt this afternoon diminish to below 12 kt by 10/00z. Winds then shift to southwest tonight. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...McCoy AVIATION...Mead