286
FXUS63 KGID 250542
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1242 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- The heat will increase across the area Saturday through
  Tuesday. The hottest days will be Sunday and Monday with heat
  index values near 100 to around 110 degrees.

- Overnight low temperatures will mostly be in the 70s Saturday
  night through Monday night.

- Shower and thunderstorm chances (up to around 50%) will be
  present today through Friday night across mainly southern and
  eastern portions of the area.

- Saturday through Tuesday will be mostly dry. Rain and storm
  chances increase again around Wednesday or Thursday of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 324 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025

Today through Friday night...

An upper ridge extends from Texas to the East Coast. An upper trough
is over eastern Nebraska and Iowa with showers and storms extending
from Kansas to Iowa. A surface high is across south central and
central Nebraska and north central Kansas with easterly winds.
Temperatures today are cooler behind the front with highs expected
to be in the low to mid 80s. Any storms that may develop/move into
southern and eastern portions of the forecast area are not expected
to be severe due to low mid-level lapse rates. Some showers and
storms may linger into tonight primarily for areas south and east of
the Tri-Cities although confidence for this is low. Some models have
showers and storms just to the south of our area where the upper
lift is higher. Low temperatures tonight will mostly be in the mid
to upper 60s.

An upper low will be near the area on Friday with showers and storms
possibly developing (chances up to around 50%) across southern and
eastern portions of the area. Again, any storms that develop are not
expected to be severe due to low mid-level lapse rates. High
temperatures on Friday will be similar or slightly cooler than today
with easterly to southeasterly winds. Showers and storms may linger
into Friday night (up to around 45% chance) with low temperatures in
the 60s.

Saturday through Wednesday...

An upper ridge will be over the southeastern part of the country and
will extend towards south central and central Nebraska and north
central Kansas on Saturday. Winds will generally be out of the south
with temperatures warming up into the upper 80s to mid/upper 90s.
Dewpoint temperatures are expected to be in the 60s and 70s which
will contribute to heat index values reaching around 100 degrees for
portions of the area. Low temperatures Saturday night will range
from the mid/upper 60s to mid 70s. The ridge will expand moreso over
the area on Sunday with temperatures climbing into the low/mid 90s
to low 100s. Dewpoint temperatures will again be in the 60s and 70s
during the afternoon which will contribute to heat index values
reaching the upper 90s to around 110 degrees. Low temperatures
Sunday night will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s. The upper ridge
will be more centered over the area on Monday with southerly winds
continuing. High temperatures on Monday will be similar or a degree
or two warmer than those on Sunday. Heat index values will be
similar or slightly lower than the previous day due to slightly
lower dewpoint temperatures. Low temperatures Monday night will
range from the upper 60s to mid 70s.

The upper ridge will still be over the area on Tuesday but a cold
front will be approaching. This front may result (up to near 50%
chance) in showers and thunderstorms developing, especially across
areas along and north of I-80 Tuesday evening into Tuesday night.
High temperatures on Tuesday will be a little cooler than the
previous day but some areas are still expected to reach 100 degrees.
Heat index values on Tuesday will range from the mid/upper 90s to
around 106 degrees. Low temperatures Tuesday night will be in the
mid 60s to low 70s. A surface high will impact the area on Wednesday
with easterly winds. High temperatures on Wednesday are expected to
range from the upper 70s to mid 90s. Shower and thunderstorm chances
(up to around 40%) continue into Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1239 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Stratus will move into the area this morning, reducing ceilings
to IFR/sub-IFR levels. Winds remain light and variable this
morning. With recent moisture, light winds and radiational
cooling, patchy fog will be possible, resulting in some
reductions to visibility. Any fog should burn off by mid-
morning. Heading into the afternoon, there is a small change of
a few showers and storms in the vicinity of KGRI. The forecast
currently has KEAR missing out on some of the rain/storms.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Wekesser