286 FXUS63 KGID 250542 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 1242 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - The heat will increase across the area Saturday through Tuesday. The hottest days will be Sunday and Monday with heat index values near 100 to around 110 degrees. - Overnight low temperatures will mostly be in the 70s Saturday night through Monday night. - Shower and thunderstorm chances (up to around 50%) will be present today through Friday night across mainly southern and eastern portions of the area. - Saturday through Tuesday will be mostly dry. Rain and storm chances increase again around Wednesday or Thursday of next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 324 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025 Today through Friday night... An upper ridge extends from Texas to the East Coast. An upper trough is over eastern Nebraska and Iowa with showers and storms extending from Kansas to Iowa. A surface high is across south central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas with easterly winds. Temperatures today are cooler behind the front with highs expected to be in the low to mid 80s. Any storms that may develop/move into southern and eastern portions of the forecast area are not expected to be severe due to low mid-level lapse rates. Some showers and storms may linger into tonight primarily for areas south and east of the Tri-Cities although confidence for this is low. Some models have showers and storms just to the south of our area where the upper lift is higher. Low temperatures tonight will mostly be in the mid to upper 60s. An upper low will be near the area on Friday with showers and storms possibly developing (chances up to around 50%) across southern and eastern portions of the area. Again, any storms that develop are not expected to be severe due to low mid-level lapse rates. High temperatures on Friday will be similar or slightly cooler than today with easterly to southeasterly winds. Showers and storms may linger into Friday night (up to around 45% chance) with low temperatures in the 60s. Saturday through Wednesday... An upper ridge will be over the southeastern part of the country and will extend towards south central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas on Saturday. Winds will generally be out of the south with temperatures warming up into the upper 80s to mid/upper 90s. Dewpoint temperatures are expected to be in the 60s and 70s which will contribute to heat index values reaching around 100 degrees for portions of the area. Low temperatures Saturday night will range from the mid/upper 60s to mid 70s. The ridge will expand moreso over the area on Sunday with temperatures climbing into the low/mid 90s to low 100s. Dewpoint temperatures will again be in the 60s and 70s during the afternoon which will contribute to heat index values reaching the upper 90s to around 110 degrees. Low temperatures Sunday night will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s. The upper ridge will be more centered over the area on Monday with southerly winds continuing. High temperatures on Monday will be similar or a degree or two warmer than those on Sunday. Heat index values will be similar or slightly lower than the previous day due to slightly lower dewpoint temperatures. Low temperatures Monday night will range from the upper 60s to mid 70s. The upper ridge will still be over the area on Tuesday but a cold front will be approaching. This front may result (up to near 50% chance) in showers and thunderstorms developing, especially across areas along and north of I-80 Tuesday evening into Tuesday night. High temperatures on Tuesday will be a little cooler than the previous day but some areas are still expected to reach 100 degrees. Heat index values on Tuesday will range from the mid/upper 90s to around 106 degrees. Low temperatures Tuesday night will be in the mid 60s to low 70s. A surface high will impact the area on Wednesday with easterly winds. High temperatures on Wednesday are expected to range from the upper 70s to mid 90s. Shower and thunderstorm chances (up to around 40%) continue into Wednesday. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1239 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: Stratus will move into the area this morning, reducing ceilings to IFR/sub-IFR levels. Winds remain light and variable this morning. With recent moisture, light winds and radiational cooling, patchy fog will be possible, resulting in some reductions to visibility. Any fog should burn off by mid- morning. Heading into the afternoon, there is a small change of a few showers and storms in the vicinity of KGRI. The forecast currently has KEAR missing out on some of the rain/storms. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Schuldt AVIATION...Wekesser