020 FXUS63 KGID 081154 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 654 AM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Light showers and an isolated non-severe thunderstorm will be possible across portions of south central Nebraska through around 1 PM. Precip amounts will be light, with only a couple hundredths of an inch of accumulation expected. - Smoke from Canadian wildfires will make for a hazy afternoon, with a possible repeat on Monday (lower confidence) as winds remain northerly behind this mornings cold front. - Dry and warmer (80s & low 90s) Tuesday and Wednesday. - Small thunderstorm chances return Wednesday night and will continue off and on across at least parts of the local area into next weekend. Seasonably warm temperatures will continue. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 405 AM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025 Showers and a couple of isolated weak thunderstorms can be seen across northern and eastern Nebraska early this morning associated with a weak cold front moving south across the region. Expect this activity to sag southward towards the Nebraska and Kansas state line through the late morning hours before dissipating. In general, most locations will receive minimal accumulations, with up to an tenth of an inch possible across northern portions of the local area. As skies begin to clear later this afternoon, expect a mix of clouds and hazy sunshine as smoke from Canadian wildfires filters in across the local area. Latest HRRR smoke run is indicating near surface smoke concentrations will begin increasing by mid-morning, with observations upstream of the local area generally observing 5-7SM of visibility with this smoke. While there should be some improvement in air quality overnight, lower concentrations of surface smoke may linger into Monday as northerly winds continue (and become breezy) although confidence is not high. Of higher confidence are the breezy winds and continued seasonably cool temperatures, as northwesterly winds will gust to near 30 MPH and temperatures will remain in the mid to upper 70s across south central Nebraska and lower 80s across our north central Kansas counties. High pressure aloft will then shift across the area on Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing above normal temperatures and dry weather to the region through the daytime hours Wednesday. Late Wednesday, the upper level flow will become more westerly as a front approaches from the north, steering multiple weak disturbances across the local area through Saturday, justifying off and on small chances for showers and thunderstorms across the local area. While it is still too early to accurately predict severe chances, instability will increase over this period and some stronger storms may eventually be realized (although coverage looks fairly spotty at this time). && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/... Issued at 635 AM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: A cold front moved across the terminals overnight with northerly breezes having settled in at both sites the past few hours. Can see some -SHRAs/-TSRAs north of the terminals this morning, and expect these -SHRAS/-TSRAs to sag south as they dissipate over the next 4-8 hours, likely ending by 08/19Z. In addition to shower potential...the HRRR is indicating some thicker surface smoke will impact the area by late morning to early afternoon, and looking at obs upstream of the area, still seeing some 5-7SM VSBYs with HZ. As a result, continued some marginal MVFR VSBYS in FU through the daytime hours. Winds overall with be northerly around 12 KTS this morning...with gusts to near 20 KTS by late morning and then likely continuing through the end of the period. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Rossi AVIATION...Rossi