207
FXUS64 KJAN 090201
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
901 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 859 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Strong high pressure and cool temperatures will prevail overnight
under mostly clear skies. Lows tonight will mostly be in the low
to mid 50s, along with light winds out of the north./15/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 257 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Tonight:

Expect those cool breezes to continue into the overnight hours
tonight as post-frontal high pressure builds into the region. The
core of the surface high will remain to our north, so completely
calm conditions are not expected to set up ideal radiational
cooling. Where winds do go calm in low-lying drainage areas however,
there is the potential for a few low temperatures in the upper 40s.
Otherwise expect low temps in the lower to mid 50s under these clear
skies.

Wednesday through Tuesday:

The remainder of our forecast into early next week is dry. Upper-
level ridging over the western CONUS and a series of shortwaves
diving through a longwave trough over the eastern CONUS will be the
prevailing synoptic features. As Hurricane Milton crosses the Gulf
of Mexico tomorrow for a landfall on the Florida Peninsula early
Thursday, low-level flow across our forecast area will remain out of
the northeast. In its wake, the surface high will finally slide
southward to the Gulf Coast region this weekend. High pressure at
the surface, ridging aloft tilting our way from the Southern Plains,
and the return of southerly low-level flow will promote high temps
warming back into the upper 80s for the weekend - a solid 4-8
degrees above normal for mid October. Then the next shortwave in
northwest flow aloft will deliver a cold front to the forecast area
Sunday night into Monday. Insufficient moisture return is expected
for any kind of precip in the region, so have the dry forecast
continuing even through the frontal passage. This could cause some
concern for fire danger as breezy weather accompanies the dry cold
front. /NF/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 716 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

VFR conditions and light northerly winds will prevail through the
period./15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       55  85  58  85 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      55  85  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     53  84  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   57  88  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       53  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    52  82  53  85 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     53  85  55  85 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

15/