467
FXUS64 KJAN 100751
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
251 AM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 251 AM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025

Through Wednesday: A persistent band of storms has lasted into
the early morning hours across north MS and now in the Golden
Triangle vicinity. These were making the most of weak to moderate
instability and forcing along a front sagging southward into the
area. Additional convection has festered over south MS within
richer moisture and instability but has mainly stayed south of our
area. The aforementioned front will continue to sink southward
today ever so gradually, bringing a seasonably drier airmass to
areas north of it. South of it, scattered showers and storms are
in the offing once again, mainly along and south of the US 84
corridor this afternoon and early evening before the front reaches
our southern border and begins to stall overnight. In the drier
air behind the front, Wed morning will offer a nice taste of
relief with lows in the 60s over most of the area. Although, these
readings are actually around average low temps for this time of
year. After a mostly dry morning, the front will begin to slowly
waver back northward, granting potential for isolated to scattered
convection as far north as the I- 20 corridor by afternoon.

Thursday through Monday: Through the remainder of the forecast
period, the forecast will feature consistent themes. The stalled
front will gradually wash out through the end of the week, but
we`ll stay locked on the "dirty" western side of the surface ridge
with moist southerly flow constantly replenishing a very humid
airmass. The other noteworthy player will be an upper trough that
will slowly migrate from the Southern Plains into the Ohio Valley
over the weekend. These features will foster daily, mainly diurnal
rain chances through early next week. Severe weather potential
appears to be minimal for the time being. Outside of any rain, it
will be warm and humid with heat indices potentially visiting the
triple digits in some areas on a daily basis by this weekend. /DL/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025

VFR conditions will prevail at majority of TAF sites through the
period. However, some patches of BR or low stratus can`t be ruled
out in eastern & southern TAF sites near daybreak. TAFs remain on
the optimistic side, but amendments may be necessary if any
localized MVFR to IFR conditions develop. After 10/18-19Z
Tuesday, scattered SHRA & TSRA should develop south of Interstate
20. Confidence remains low but enough to add some low probs at
this time (30-55%). SHRA & TSRA will wind down into early
evening. Sfc winds should remain light & variable, turning
northerly, generally sustained & gusts under 10mph. /NF/DC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       89  68  89  71 /  20   0  20  10
Meridian      89  66  91  68 /  30  10  20  10
Vicksburg     90  69  89  71 /  10   0  20  10
Hattiesburg   91  72  91  73 /  60  20  50  10
Natchez       88  69  88  71 /  30  20  40  10
Greenville    88  66  88  70 /   0   0  10  10
Greenwood     89  66  91  69 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

DL/NF/DC