234 FXUS64 KJAN 020914 AFDJAN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 414 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 ...New DISCUSSION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 410 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Today and Tonight: It will be dry with near normal temperatures through the period. Early morning water vapor imagery/RAP analysis showed a shortwave trough over southeast Mississippi. This feature was actually helping maintain an isolated thunderstorm just south of Marion and Lamar counties. The shortwave trough will continue shifting east southeast through the period; across the Florida panhandle today and then over the northeast Gulf tonight. No precipitation associated with the shortwave is expected in our CWA. In the wake of the shortwave trough, drier air aloft has moved in over our CWA knocking back down to near one inch. Early morning surface analysis had a center of high pressure to our northeast. This surface high will remain to our northeast and continue ridging back across our CWA. This will result in a light return flow but deep moisture will be slow to increase through tonight. This will allow temperatures to top out a couple degrees warmer than on Sunday. Morning lows Tuesday will be a couple degrees warmer than this morning. /22/ This Week: The beginning of the week is expected to remain relatively quiet in terms of weather. An upper-level rex blocking pattern will dominate through at least midweek, maintaining dry conditions across the southeast due to prevailing high pressure. By Wednesday, a shift to more southerly low-level flow will begin to reintroduce moisture into the region, increasing the potential for rain chances. This will likely return in the form of isolated to scattered diurnal showers and thunderstorms during the latter part of the work-week. As an upper-level low drifts towards the Gulf Coast, the southern portions of the forecast area could see some increased chances for showers and storms. Heading into the weekend, a northwest flow regime is expected to reestablish as a low-level wave pushes into the area through the Ozarks. This wave will bring the potential for more organized storms and the potential for some strong to severe storms, particularly in the northern and northwestern portions of the forecast area but its a little to early to say definitively as its during the end of the period. As for temperatures, highs are expected to remain in the upper 80s to low 90s for most of the week. A passing wave this weekend will result in cooler temperatures, bringing highs back down into the mid to upper 80s. /KP/ && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 VFR conditions wl prevail through the TAF period. /22/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 89 67 90 70 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 89 65 91 68 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 89 68 91 71 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 91 66 92 71 / 0 0 10 10 Natchez 89 68 89 70 / 0 0 10 0 Greenville 88 68 89 71 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 89 68 91 71 / 0 0 0 0 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && $$ 22/KP/22