343 FXUS64 KMEG 111210 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 710 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 706 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025 - Significant river flooding will continue into early next week. - Frost is possible in northwest Tennessee overnight. - Mostly dry and pleasant conditions return this weekend through much of next week. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 310 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025 Cooler conditions return to the Midsouth today behind a cold front that resulted in showers and thunderstorms across the Missouri Bootheel, west Tennessee and north Mississippi yesterday. Afternoon highs should be in the 60s. A few afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible in northeast Mississippi and West Tennessee, near the Tennessee River today. Strong or severe thunderstorms are not expected. These showers will be triggered by a positively tilted shortwave trough rounding the backside of a deep longwave trough extending from Lake Ontario to the Central Gulf Coast. The shortwave should reach the base of the longwave by sunset bringing the end to any chance of rain across the Midsouth as the longwave trough shifts toward the East Coast. High pressure will build in from the west tonight. Clear skies, light wind and a fairly dry atmosphere could result in patchy frost tonight in portions of northwest Tennessee. Saturday through Monday look dry and mild, featuring mostly clear skies and warming temperatures. Expect highs in the 60s Saturday and 70s to low 80s Sunday and Monday. A broad ridge over the Mississippi River Valley this weekend will flatten out early next week. A cold front may result in another chance of showers and thunderstorms Monday night, but return flow ahead of the front looks limited, so widespread coverage is not expected. Dry and cooler conditions are expected Tuesday through Thursday. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 706 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025 VFR conditions are expected to prevail for the most part, with the exception of a brief reduction to MVFR CIGs at MKL later this morning. A few wraparound showers will be making their way across the airspace around 18Z, but confidence and coverage was too low to have any prevailing precip in the TAFs, just VCSH and PROB30s. Gusty northwest winds this afternoon will transition to light northeasterly winds by sunset. CAD && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS AVIATION...CAD