948 FXUS64 KLCH 140826 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 326 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry conditions expected to prevail through Good Friday. - Chances of showers and thunderstorms return this Easter Weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday night) Wx map shows a surface high over the Eastern Gulf to the Bahamas, giving southerly winds around 5-10 mph across the area. Temperatures generally in the lower to mid 60s across the area, and expected to remain nearly steady through daybreak. The mid to upper ridge over the Gulf expected to continue its influence on our region. Expect highs in the lower to mid 80s. For tonight and Tuesday, a digging mid to upper level trough over the Central U.S. will erode the southern ridge enough to allow northwest flow aloft, and a cool front to move through the area late Tuesday morning into the afternoon hours. Limited moisture will likely inhibit much if any precipitation, with only a few showers possible along the frontal boundary. Behind the front, slightly cooler but much drier air expected to advect across the area, with highs in the upper 70s to near 80. The cooler air will be felt Wednesday morning, as clear skies and calm winds will allow for morning lows near 50/lower 50s north of I-10/mid to upper 50s further south. Expect the surface high to slide east by Wednesday afternoon, with east to southeast winds returning. Highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s expected. 08/DML && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Monday) The warming and humidifying trend will continue Thursday through Good Friday as the mid to upper level ridge over the Gulf builds northward and southerly winds continue over the area. For Saturday through Monday, a deep layer mid to upper trough/low over the Western U.S. expected to lift northeast across the Central U.S. increasing moisture and lift across the area. At this time, expect the greatest chances of showers and thunderstorms north of the region, with chances ranging 20-40% for Sunday and Monday. Temperatures expected to remain above normal, especially during the overnight periods. 08/DML && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Southerly winds 12-14 kts with gusts 20-22 kts expected by 15z at all sites, diminishing to 5 kts or less after 00z. Mostly clear skies expected today and this afternoon. Increasing low clouds expected after 06z, possibly MVFR late in the period ahead of the cold front. 08/DML && .MARINE... Light to moderate onshore flow will continue today and tonight ahead of a cold frontal passage Tuesday morning. Brief offshore flow expected behind the cold front through Tuesday night. Onshore flow expected by Wednesday through the weekend as the surface high pressure slips eastward. No rainfall is expected through Friday night. 08/DML && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 85 61 76 50 / 0 10 0 0 LCH 80 63 79 55 / 0 0 0 0 LFT 82 61 79 54 / 0 0 0 0 BPT 81 62 81 59 / 0 0 0 0 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...08 LONG TERM....08 AVIATION...08