020 FXUS64 KLIX 011958 AFDLIX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 258 PM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday night) Issued at 233 PM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025 Kept some low end PoPs through this afternoon and early evening as the old frontal boundary creeps northward. So far, most areas have remained dry but looking at current radar a couple showers have started to pop up east of Houma. Can`t rule out a chance of these showers strengthening into a brief thunderstorm, but keeping numbers low. Heading into Monday, rain chances are low, ~5-10%, if they exist at all. However, with the shift to southerly winds on Sunday the air will feel more humid on Monday. Most areas will also be a couple to a few degrees higher than Sunday. So, enjoy today before it feels hot and humid again! && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Saturday night) Issued at 233 PM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025 Surface high pressure to our east will hold through Tuesday keeping rain chances fairly low, ~15%. Looking further into the long term period, we likely see a more summertime pattern set back up as southerly flow returns. By Wednesday, we see PoPs increase to around 35-45% and remain around that range through the end of the week. The GFS past the hour of 220 will be ignored. On a serious note, today is the first official day of the Atlantic hurricane season so now is a good time to take a look at your supplies and plans! && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 PM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025 All terminals likely to remain VFR through the TAF cycle. A small chance for some TSRA this afternoon remains in place, however there is not enough confidence to include it. Some MVFR vis is possible for northern areas tomorrow morning, mainly MCB, with a few models showing patchy fog. && .MARINE... Issued at 233 PM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025 We are seeing a shift to light onshore flow this afternoon as the old stalled front is creeping back north slowly. We hold onshore flow throughout this week with it increasing up to 10-15 knots by Wednesday. Rain and storm chances increase again towards mid week, any storms may briefly bring higher winds and wave heights. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MCB 65 89 66 89 / 10 0 0 10 BTR 68 89 69 90 / 10 10 0 20 ASD 68 88 69 89 / 10 0 0 10 MSY 73 88 74 90 / 10 10 0 20 GPT 70 87 71 87 / 10 0 0 10 PQL 66 88 67 89 / 10 0 0 10 && .LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...HL LONG TERM....HL AVIATION...HL MARINE...HL