355
FXUS64 KLIX 110451
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1151 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025

...New MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 220 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025

A cold front and parent trough will continue to slide southward
from the Ohio/TN River Valleys tonight and push through our area
tomorrow morning. Out ahead of the front there could be some
limited moisture pooling leading to a nonzero fog potential,
especially considering the recent rainfall and still saturated
soils. THe best potential looks to be across southwest MS and
perhaps as far south as the Florida Parishes.

On Friday, the moisture quality is lackluster to say the least and
there lacks much in the way of forcing with this system.
Therefore, the best rain and elevated convection potential will
reside north and east of our region. No it would not be completely
impossible for a shower to develop north of the I10/12 corridor
on Friday, however, this will certainly be the one exception
rather than the rule...so kept POPs below mentionable thresholds.
Northerly winds will gradually increase on Friday and some breezy
conditions are expected to develop behind the front, however, the
upper limit with winds looks to be right around 20-25 mph.
Temperatures will be a skosh cooler during the day and remain
below average at night through the period. (Frye)

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 220 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025

Going into the weekend a very similar weather pattern develops
(similar to what we`ve seen for much of the week) with dry
northwesterly upper flow over our region. At the surface, high
pressure will spread into the area bringing down surface winds.
Temperatures, although a bit cooler during the day and below
average at night will still be comfortable especially with much
drier air filtering into the region behind the short term period`s
frontal boundary.

Going into the start of the new week surface high pressure begins
to moves east over the eastern portions of the Gulf. This will set
up a southerly return flow and perhaps allow a bit more moisture
to works its way northward into our CWFA. By Tuesday, globals
still have another front moving through but have back off QPF a
good bit despite some slight increase in low level moisture. So,
generally speaking the long term is somewhat going to be a carbon
copy of this week with dry northwesterly flow keeping things less
active and high pressure at the surface keeping winds in check
with continued mild temperatures. (Frye)

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025

VFR conditions are forecast for the entire period. Winds will pick
up a bit in the wake of a cold front and switch to northwesterly
with gusts up to 20 knots possible, but should calm down after
sunset. -BL

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 220 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025

A cold front will move through the local waters early Friday
transitioning the winds to a more northerly direction. Behind the
front during the afternoon and into the overnight hours winds and
seas will begin to build. Small craft advisories have been issued
for the eastern and most of the outer waters. Elsewhere,
cautionary headlines will cover the remainder of the area. High
pressure will continue to spread into the region and once again
allow winds and seas to become more favorable. (Frye)

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  81  54  76  46 /   0  10   0   0
BTR  81  58  78  49 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  81  58  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  80  61  78  56 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  78  59  78  51 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  78  57  79  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM Friday to 7 AM CDT Saturday for
     GMZ536-555-557-572-575-577.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM Friday to 7 AM CDT Saturday for
     GMZ555-557-572-575-577.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RDF
LONG TERM....RDF
AVIATION...BL
MARINE...RDF