481 FXUS63 KICT 072318 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 618 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - A few strong to severe storms are possible Sunday afternoon through Sunday night mainly in southern Kansas. - Dry weather for Monday through Wednesday with highs in the lower 80s to lower 90s. - Chances for showers and storms return late Wednesday into the end of the week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 323 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025 An isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out this afternoon into the evening with the available moisture and reaching convective temperatures. Visible satellite has continued to show cumulus development through the day. If a shower or storm were to develop, the concerns would be brief moderate to heavy rain and lightning. Otherwise it should be dry for most locations into Sunday. A wave over the Northern Plains will track southeast and its associated cold front drops south through Kansas on Sunday. This brings the next chance for showers and thunderstorms with the highest chances along the Kansas/Oklahoma border during the afternoon in the nighttime hours. Potential remains for strong to severe storms across southern Kansas given the instability and modest shear available. The main threats would be wind gusts up to 70 mph and up to golf ball sized hail. Locally heavy rainfall remains a concern especially over the saturated surfaces of this same area which could quickly lead to additional flooding or exacerbate ongoing flooding. Depending on the timing of the front and respective position, this could adjust the location for convection which may be shifted further south. This will certainly be refined with the next issuance and updates given the latest guidance and observational trends. After a fairly active week, a ridge moves into the central CONUS for the start of the week. This will allow things to dry out for a few days before the next system pushes in for the latter half of the week. High temperatures are forecast to be in the lower 80s to lower 90s for this period. The next chances for showers and storms move in late Wednesday into next weekend. There is still plenty of time for changes to occur in this part of the forecast. As mentioned in the previous discussion, an increase in available moisture with dewpoints rising into the 70s combined with temperatures in the 80s to lower 90s could result in heat indices approaching the triple digit mark next weekend; the forecast sustained winds of 10 to 15 mph would help at least. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 616 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025 VFR conditions are expected through the period. Northwesterly winds will become light and variable by 02Z. A cold front will begin to move through the area from north to south during the morning and early afternoon hours Sunday. Finally, thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon for areas mainly along and south of Highway 50. Introduced a PROB30 group at HUT/ICT/CNU during the mid to late afternoon hours. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...GC/VJP AVIATION...BRF