187
FXUS63 KICT 031720
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1220 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across much of the
area today

- Active weather pattern through the upcoming weekend with daily
rain chances; widespread severe weather is not anticipated

- Seasonal temperatures over the next week with highs in the 80s

  &&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 403 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

As of 330 AM Wednesday morning, a midlevel ridge axis continues
to reside across the southern Plains into the upper Midwest.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue across northeast OK
as the remnant MCV from Monday night/Tuesday morning`s
convection remains nearby. Isolated showers and storms have
developed across central KS on a weak 700 mb convergence axis. A
3rd area of convection is ongoing across western KS within a
weak axis of low-level WAA. Finally, a fourth area of convection
is ongoing across the TX Panhandle as a midlevel shortwave
trough lifts north from eastern NM. Between the remnant MCV, the
weak WAA, and the shortwave trough lifting across western KS,
areas of showers and thunderstorms are probable across much of
the area today. Meager effective shear below 20 kt will hinder
the potential for strong or severe storms.

The aforementioned midlevel shortwave trough is progged to
slowly lift across western KS and into NE tonight into Thursday.
This will keep shower and thunderstorm chances in the forecast
into Thursday afternoon. The active weather pattern looks to
continue through weeks-end and into the upcoming weekend. The
greatest potential for widespread rainfall appears to arrive
late Saturday through Sunday night as a slow moving shortwave
trough glides from the southern high Plains through central and
eastern KS.

&&


.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A challenging forecast for the TAF sites for this afternoon.
Afternoon heating combined with a moist atmsophere and little
overall flow will allow for storm chances pretty much everywhere
although not expecting these storms to be severe. Shower and
storm activity will likely persist off and on throughout the
night as a shortwave continues its slow movement through
western KS but have left out of TAF sites as timing of these
storms is rather difficult and could occur throughout the
period.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BRF
AVIATION...SGS