699
FXUS63 KDDC 311015
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
515 AM CDT Sat May 31 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Slight chance of storms this evening across central and south
central Kansas. A few isolated severe storms are possible

- Around 90 degrees Monday

- Severe storms possible Monday with continued chances of
precipitation through mid week

- Cool down by mid week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 219 AM CDT Sat May 31 2025

A weak cold front will move through the area today shifting winds to
the north. A weak upper level disturbance will move out of the
Northern Plains and into the Central Plains by this evening. This
will bring an increase in cloud cover across the eastern half of our
CWA late this afternoon into this evening. A slight chance of
thunderstorms will be possible across central and south central
Kansas this evening but I believe most of the activity will stay out
of our forecast area. The atmosphere will be unstable this afternoon
so any storm that forms will have the increased probability of
producing large hail and damaging winds. Highs today look to reach
into the mid to upper 80s with lows tonight in the 50s. The rest of
the weekend looks dry as a ridge of high pressure builds over the
Plains and high pressure being the dominate feature at the surface.
Highs tomorrow will reach into the upper 80s with lows reaching
around 60 degrees.

A more active storm pattern emerges next week as a series of
disturbances move through the area. As of now, there could be some
storm Monday afternoon evening as the atmosphere becomes unstable. A
cold front then moves through the area Tuesday with a chance of
storms across northern Kansas. These storms do not look to become
severe at this time but being peak severe storm season it can not be
ruled out. Showers and a few thunderstorms will once again be
possible Wednesday and Thursday as upslope flow becomes dominate
across western Kansas. As for temperatures, highs around 90 degrees
are expected Monday before dipping back down into the 70s Tuesday
through Thursday. Lows will be in the 50s and 60s Monday morning
with upper 40s to mid 50s for the remainder of the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 515 AM CDT Sat May 31 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through tonight with a few mid
clouds this evening. Winds will start out from a southerly
direction this morning, shifting to the north by this afternoon
as a weak cold front moves through the area.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42