927 FXUS63 KICT 132336 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 636 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - A few showers and storms are possible tonight across central and south-central Kansas. - Overnight storm chances will continue through the weekend and into early next week. - Temperatures near, or just above, normal are expected through the forecast period. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 324 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025 Radar and satellite imagery shows the midlevel low swirling off to our east. This has lead to persistent cloud cover across eastern Kansas through the morning and early afternoon hours. Dense, low clouds and fog this morning has cleared with partly cloudy skies across the state this afternoon. As ridging builds into the region from the west, a corridor of decent WAA is expected across central and western Kansas. This, along with strong upslope flow and moderate instability will lead to the development of rain and storms across western Kansas later this afternoon and evening. This activity, in the presence of weak shear, will form into an MCS that will move southeast into central Kansas during the overnight hours. A slightly less supportive environment is expected across central Kansas with instability of around 1500 J/kg and shear values of around 25 kt. This will support a few stronger wind gusts and small hail before storms diminish overnight. The midlevel ridge axis will remain just to our west over the course of the weekend which will continue to support diurnally driven, upslope flow convection developing in the High Plains during the late afternoon and early evening hours. This activity will move southeastward during the overnight hours. Models continue to suggest that Sunday remains the best chance for convection to persist into central and eastern Kansas through the morning hours. With the ridge building into the region, we`ll continue to see warmer temperatures over the next several days with highs reaching into the upper 80s to lower 90s with lows around 70. A weak trough will traverse the Plains Tuesday into Wednesday bringing moderate chances (40-60%) of rainfall to the area. At this time, an MCS looks to develop Tuesday night that will dive southeastward impacting the forecast area into early Wednesday morning. Behind this activity, a stout ridge looks to build into the region bringing a drier pattern and much warmer temperatures. High temperatures for the second half of next week will reach into the lower to middle 90s areawide. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 633 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025 VFR conditions expected through the late evening hours, however late tonight scattered showers and storms could develop over central Kansas then spread southward into south central Kansas. The activity will then shift south into Oklahoma by mid morning with winds remaining light southeast. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AMD AVIATION...CDJ