858
FXUS63 KIWX 241026
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
526 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with mainly dry weather through
  Thursday.

- Mild Thursday through the end of the year next Tuesday with highs
  in the 40s and 50s with lows staying above freezing.

- Intermittent chances for light rain late this week through
  next Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 309 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

A weak cold front was moving south across the forecast area in
the wake of the departing upper level system. A small patch of
drizzle was associated with the front. The drizzle will move out
of the area as temperatures stay above freezing so freezing
drizzle is not expected. Very little cold air will be able to
reach the area as the high pressure area to the north moves east
and winds become east tonight. Raised lows a little tonight
favoring the HRRR. Light rain may develop tonight, but
temperatures should stay just warm enough to prevent light
freezing rain from developing.

In the longer term through the end of the year next Tuesday,
there is high confidence that mild weather will prevail through
at least Tuesday. The CIPS analogs reflect the CPC outlook of
this high confidence with above normal temperatures in the 94th
percentile over northern Indiana. There will be several
impulses - mostly of Pacific origin - that will transverse the
CONUS and bring chances for light rain to the area during the
warm period. It does look like much colder air is farther ahead
just past the new year.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 525 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

Shallow post frontal inversion has locked in MVFR based
stratocu cigs for this period. Nwrly winds early will veer to
light nerly through this morning and erly by evening. Some fog
is possible late period with increasing saturation depth yet
will await 12Z guidance suite for possible inclusion in later
fcsts.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Skipper
AVIATION...T