919 FXUS65 KPIH 140430 AFDPIH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pocatello ID 1030 PM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Risk of thunderstorms continues tonight for the central Idaho mountains and eastern highlands. - Thunderstorms limited to the Montana border Saturday afternoon and evening. - Afternoon highs continue in the 80s for the Snake River plain and southern valleys, 70s in the mountains. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... Issued at 1242 PM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025 A weak impulse moving through NE OR and the ID panhandle will trigger some isolated thunderstorms in the central Idaho mountains and the upper Snake River highlands. Instability on Sat will bring convective build ups, but the thunderstorm activity will be very limited and, if it happens, will be along the ID-MT border. Another impulse will trigger weak showers and thunderstorms again on Sun in the mountains and highlands of the northern half of the forecast area. A stronger trough finally arrives on Mon, bringing back a threat of showers and thunderstorms for the nearly the whole area, save the southwest corner and eastern Magic Valley. Temperatures will warm slightly and level off on Sun and Mon. Wind should be breezy and gusty in the Arco Desert and Craters of the Moon region on Mon afternoon, but otherwise expect wind to stay at or less than 15 mph. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 1242 PM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025 Models try to push shortwave through the region Tuesday, for what is probably the best chance of the week for thunderstorm development. This appears to be a fast moving shallow feature, so not a lot of moisture associated with it, most of which stays north. For right now, the chances for thunder from this feature look confined to northern areas along/near the MT border and Yellowstone regions. Elsewhere, expect gusty afternoon winds Tuesday. The remainder of the period looks to be dry with temperatures rebounding to near or slightly above 90 degrees for lower elevation areas, remaining above normal for this time of year. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 1030 PM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025 Following the departure of a shortwave trough this evening, clear skies and light winds will return overnight. For Saturday, increasing upper-level clouds will build in through the day as predominant VFR and dry conditions continue. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 315 AM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025 Look for isolated showers and thunderstorms today, mainly over our northern areas and the Southeast Highlands. Gusty outflow winds of around 30 to 40 mph are likely with any thunderstorms. Small hail is also likely with thunderstorms. High temperatures today will be in the 70s and 80s across the area. The area begins to dry out again by Friday and into the weekend with temperatures rising back to the 80s and 90s by Sunday. Models continue to show a weak wave moving over the area early next week bringing very low precipitation chances, but looks to drop temperatures slightly bringing back 70s and 80s. && .PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Messick LONG TERM...DMH AVIATION...MacKay FIRE WEATHER...TW