062
FXUS66 KOTX 102254
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
354 PM PDT Thu Apr 10 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Showers are forecast for the Cascades, Idaho Panhandle, and
for portions of Eastern Washington overnight along with gusty
winds across the Columbia Basin. Friday looks to be a dry day
across the region, followed by cool and showery weather on
Saturday. This weekend will also bring colder overnight low
temperatures. Temperatures will then trend back upward heading
into the early to middle part of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight through Friday Night: A well defined cold front over
western Washington as of 2 PM will quickly move east this
evening. Timing of front reaches the Cascades between 3-6 PM,
Central WA 6-8 PM, and then Eastern WA/N Idaho 8-11 PM. A dry air
mass as the front tracks through will limit precipitation chances
and amounts, with rain limited to mainly the Cascades, ID
Panhandle, and potentially extreme eastern Washington. Mid level
instability over SE Washington into the ID Panhandle with 850-500
mb most unstable CAPE of 50-100 J/KG may lead to some embedded
heavier showers, with less than a 10% chance of a thunderstorm.
The other story with the front will be gusty winds. 850mb temps of
8-12C this afternoon drop to 0-3C Friday morning with the cold
advection bringing gusty winds. Yet the winds look typical of
spring, with gusts for most areas in the 15-25 MPH range, with
30-40 MPH on exposed mountain ridges, and in the typical windy
spots like Alpowa Summit. With the cold advection snow levels will
fall behind the front, as low as 2500-3000 feet along the Cascade
crest Friday morning. Yet moisture will also being to lack as
precipitable water values drop to 50-70% of normal. This little to
no snow accumulation is forecast in the mountains, even over
Stevens Pass. The dry air will remain over the area Friday and
Friday Night, allowing for colder overnight lows this weekend. If
you are planting early, be aware of frost impacting many areas
starting Friday Night. JW

Saturday through Sunday: An upper level trough remains over the
Inland NW through Saturday, giving a reinforcing shot of cooler
air. Breezy westerly winds increase by midday Saturday with gusts
of 25 to 30 mph across the Waterville Plateau, Columbia Basin,
and Palouse. Showers bubble up by mid Saturday morning and
increase in coverage across the mountains and even the lowlands
east of Pomeroy to Davenport. Snow levels drip to near 3K ft
leading to light mountain snow and a cold rain or a sloppy
rain/snow/graupel mix for the lower elevations. Winds and showers
subside Saturday evening. As the upper trough exits, expect
clearing skies, drier air, and strong radiation cooling takes
place leading to overnight lows falling below freezing in many
locations. Drier northerly flow persists into Sunday with mostly
clear skies, lighter winds, and seasonal daytime highs in the 50s.
Dry and cool conditions continue Sunday night as overnight lows
moderate slightly as an upper level ridge builds into the region.

Monday through Thursday: A flat upper ridge remains in place for
the start of the workweek with a dry westerly flow. Temperatures
are expected to gradually warm each day, peaking by mid week with to
above seasonal normals. Minor ripples in the flow aloft may give
way to an increase in cloud cover and light mountain showers, yet
rain chances remain low for much of the work week. /rfox.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: VFR conditions will prevail. A cold front will bring
shifting winds to southwest through the evening and then west-
southwest tonight into Friday. This front will bring a chance for
rain for the eastern TAF sites (KGEG, KSFF, KCOE, KPUW, KLWS)
between 04z-10z tonight. Drier air moving in behind the front is
expected to bring clearing skies to Central and Eastern WA by
Saturday morning, starting around 06z for Central WA, and 10z-12z
for Eastern WA. Some shallow boundary layer moisture Friday
afternoon combined with afternoon heating will lead to flat
cumulus over the region.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Wind gusts could
briefly (1-2 hours) reach 23-30 kts with the front passage this
evening. JW

-----------------------
Confidence descriptors:
Low - Less than a 30 percent chance
Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance
High - Greater than a 70 percent chance

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        41  59  35  53  31  57 /  20   0   0  30   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  42  58  35  51  31  56 /  40   0   0  50  10   0
Pullman        44  56  33  48  30  53 /  40  10  10  30  10   0
Lewiston       51  64  40  57  36  60 /  40  10  10  20   0   0
Colville       36  61  30  53  28  59 /  20   0   0  30   0   0
Sandpoint      41  57  35  49  30  55 /  50   0   0  70  20   0
Kellogg        45  55  38  44  31  52 /  70  10   0  70  20  10
Moses Lake     39  63  37  59  31  62 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      40  61  39  55  34  60 /  20   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           37  63  36  59  31  62 /  30   0   0  20   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$