842 FXUS65 KBOI 311926 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 126 PM MDT Sat May 31 2025 .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Monday night...A cold front is poised to move through the area tonight, entering Baker County around 5 PM PDT, and exiting to our around sunrise Sunday. Light showers may accompany the front in Valley County. A Wind Advisory has been issued for the Lower Treasure Valley of Oregon for this evening and overnight. Wind gusts to 50 mph are likely from Ontario to the west and northwest. While no advisory is in place for Baker County, the strongest winds will stretch just up into the southeast corner so folks there should prepare as if an advisory is in place. Blowing dust may occur along and for a few hours after frontal passage in lower elevations, but it is not expected to reduce visibilities below 2 miles. Otherwise, today is the hot day we have been forecasting for days, and it`s working out as expected. Records will be set this afternoon. Sunday will be 15 to 20 degrees cooler, but still above average for the date. SCattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are forecast along the eastern edge of the CWA in the mountains (generally from Yellow Pine south to Lowman and then southeast of Atlanta), and also in southern Twin Falls County and far southeast Owyhee County for Sunday afternoon, continuing into the evening in the Owyhee and Twin Falls areas (but not in the mountains). The remainder of Sunday night through Monday night will be dry and breezy. Monday`s temps will be just a couple degrees above normal. .LONG TERM...Tuesday through Saturday...The forecast area will become sandwiched between strong high pressure over the eastern Pacific, and low pressure over the northern US. As a result, northwest flow will dominate aloft for SW Idaho and SE Oregon Tuesday through Friday. Intermittent shortwave troughs will migrate through the northwest flow, but limited moisture has kept the probability of afternoon showers and thunderstorms at or below 15 percent. Temperatures are forecast to be slightly above normal through Wednesday, but a warming trend is expected toward the end of the week as heights begin to rise. Expect afternoon breezes through the extended. && .AVIATION...Generally VFR. High density altitude due to heat through this eve. A 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms Sunday P.M. in the central ID mountains east of KMYL, and in s-central Idaho. Surface winds: SW-SE 5-15 kt, becoming NW 10-20 kt with gusts 20-35 kt late this eve. Gusts up to 45-50 kt between KBKE-KONO and around KMUO tonight. Patchy blowing dust reducing visibility tonight. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: SW-W 10-20 kt. KBOI...VFR. High density altitude due to heat through this eve. SE winds 7-12 kt, becoming light N to NE after 31/23Z. Then, NW around 10-20 kt beginning around 01/05Z. Blowing dust is possible with the NW wind tonight. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...Heat Advisory until 7 PM MDT this evening IDZ012-014-016-033. OR...Heat Advisory until 7 PM MDT /6 PM PDT/ this evening ORZ061>064. Wind Advisory from 9 PM MDT /8 PM PDT/ this evening to 6 AM MDT /5 AM PDT/ Sunday ORZ064. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.x.com/NWSBoise SHORT TERM...SP LONG TERM....SH AVIATION.....SH